Nelly's System of the day

Recent Trends

Historically Speaking 10/28-11/3, 2008

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

NCAA:

Buffalo is 12-5 on road since ’06 – Ohio is 7-1-1 L9 lined home games
Houston is 8-16 as R/F since ’91 – Marshall is 6-15-1 as dogs since ‘06
South Florida is 3-7 L10 as R/F – Cincinnati is 15-7 L22 as H/D
Kent State is 0-6 L6 off S/U wins – Bowling Green is 2-12 L14 at home
C. Michigan is 0-17 S/U vs. Big Ten since ’93 – Indiana is 11-5-1 L17 as favs
Air Force is 9-2 vs. Army since ’97 – Army is 6-16 as H/D since ‘03
Louisville is 4-8 L12 as favorites – Syracuse is 1-7-1 L9 as H/D
Miami, Fl is 10-5-1 as dogs since ’00 – Virginia is 1-6 as favorites since ‘07
West Virginia is 30-16 L46 as R/F – Connecticut is 7-1 L8 at home
Iowa is 4-7 at Illinois since ’81 – Illinois is 7-14 home off a S/U loss since ‘03
Northwestern is 7-3 L10 at Minnesota – Minnesota is 12-6 as H/F since ‘04
Duke is 17-10 vs. Wake since ’81 – Wake Forest is 5-13 as H/F since ‘03
Iowa St is 14-4 L18 as DD dogs – Oklahoma St is 20-4 as DD favs since ‘02
Missouri is 10-5-1 as DD R/F since ’80 – Baylor is 2-11 as H/D since ‘05
Auburn is 14-6 as dog since ’02 – Ole Miss has lost L7 S/U at home vs. Aub.
San Diego St is 5-11 L16 on road – Wyoming is 0-8-1 L9 lined home games
E. Michigan is 7-3 L10 vs. WMU – W. Michigan is 5-10-1 L16 as DD H/F
Tulsa is 4-8 L12 road games – Arkansas is 7-3 L10 vs. Tulsa
Colorado is 3-12 L15 road games – Texas A&M is 1-6 L7 vs. Colorado
Pittsburgh is 5-11 vs. Notre Dame since ’88 – Notre Dame is 6-2 L8 as favs
Fresno State is 0-4 L4 vs. La Tech – Louisiana Tech is 8-4 L12 as H/D
Hawaii is 22-11 L33 as favorites – Utah State is 5-10 L15 as H/D
Tennessee is 14-1 S/U L15 vs. SC – S. Carolina is 10-5 a favs since ‘06
Florida is 12-5-1 L16 vs. Georgia – Florida is 6-0 L6 as 0-7 favorites
Washington is 5-2 L7 as 20+ dogs – USC is 21-10-1 L32 as DD H/F
Nebraska is 7-4 L11 vs. Oklahoma – Oklahoma is 15-6 L21 as DD favs
Oregon is 9-4 L13 vs. California – Cal is 3-7 as H/D since ’01
Temple is 4-1 L5 vs. Navy – Navy is 3-7 L10 as H/F
Kansas State is 11-3 L14 vs. Kansas – Kansas is 14-3 L17 as favorites
Texas is 8-1 S/U L9 vs. Texas Tech – Texas Tech is 13-5 L18 as H/D
Michigan is 6-1 L7 vs. Purdue – Purdue is 7-14-1 at home since ’05
Wisconsin is 1-7 L8 road games – Michigan State is 10-19-1 as H/F since ‘02
Clemson is 0-5 L5 vs. Boston College – BC is 12-6-1 as H/F since ‘05
San Jose State is 10-1 L11 as R/F – Idaho is 1-9 L10 at home
BYU is 10-15 L25 as R/F – Colorado State is 12-4 L16 as H/D
Wash. St is 4-12 vs. Stanford since ’90 – Stanford is 6-15 L21 as DD favs
Boise State is 17-13 L30 as R/F – New Mexico St is 14-9 as H/D since ‘99
Kentucky is 12-8 L20 vs. Miss. St – Mississippi State is 9-17 as H/D since ‘02
Florida St is 8-3 vs. Georgia Tech since ’93 – Georgia Tech is 2-6 L8 as H/D
Tulane is 13-20 as DD dogs since ’01 – LSU is 8-1-1 L10 after S/U losses
TCU is 4-1 L5 vs. UNLV – UNLV is 11-4 L15 as H/D
UAB is 1-4 L5 vs. Southern Miss – Southern Miss is 1-5 L6 as H/F
Rice is 5-0 L5 vs. UTEP – UTEP is 7-2 L9 as H/D
Utah is 2-4 S/U & ATS L6 vs. New Mexico – New Mexico is 5-2 L7 at home
Arizona State is 6-2 L8 vs. Oregon State – Oregon State is 9-2 L11 at home
North Texas is 0-11 S/U on road since ’07 – WKU is 0-2 L2 home games
Arkansas State is 9-3 L12 as DD dogs – Alabama is 2-18 L20 as H/F
FIU is 0-4 L4 vs. UL-Lafayette – UL-Lafayette is 3-8 L11 at home
Troy is 7-1 L8 as R/F – UL-Monroe is 18-10 L28 as underdogs
East Carolina is 14-7 on road since ’05 – Central Florida is 8-2 L10 at home

NFL:

Houston is 2-8 L10 road games – Minnesota is 11-5 L16 as H/F
Jacksonville is 6-14 L20 as R/F – Cincinnati is 2-8 L10 as H/D
Tampa Bay is 2-9 L11 as R/F – Kansas City is 41-16-2 as H/D since ‘80
Baltimore is 2-4 L6 vs. Cleveland – Cleveland is 8-4 L12 as H/D
NY Jets are 2-7 L9 vs. Buffalo – Buffalo is 12-5 L17 as H/F
Arizona is 12-6 vs. St. Louis since ’91 – St. Louis is 4-12 L16 at home
Detroit is 20-13 L33 as dog vs. Chicago – Chicago is 6-11 L17 as favorites
Green Bay is 9-3 L12 as underdogs – Tennessee is 8-1 L8 as favorites
Miami is 7-1 vs. Denver since ’85 – Denver is 5-14 L19 at home
Atlanta is 11-7-1 L19 as R/F – Oakland is 3-11 L14 at home
Dallas is 9-17-1 L27 at NY Giants – NY Giants are 5-8 L13 as H/F
Philadelphia is 11-3 L14 road games – Seattle is 20-8-3 L31 home games
New England is 32-18-1 vs. Indy since ’80 – Indianapolis is 2-6 L8 at home
Pittsburgh is 7-13 L20 on the road – Washington is 5-2 L7 as favorites

SEASON TRENDS

NCAA (through October 11)
Home teams went 16-33-1 last week (138-168-9 on the season)
Favorites went 25-25-1 last week (156-159-9 on the season)
Double-Digit Favorites went 9-17-1 last week (86-80-6 on the season)
Road Favorites went 14-5 last week (57-43-4 on the season)
Teams off bye weeks went 8-8 last week (42-37 on the season)

NFL (through October 13):
Home teams went 8-6 last week (42-45-1 on the season)
Favorites went 6-8 last week (46-41-1 on the season)
Road Favorites went 1-3 last week (15-11 on the season)
Double-Digit Favorites went 0-2 last week (1-9 on the season)
Over/Under = 4/10 last week (47/41 on the season)
Teams off bye weeks went 3-1 last week (7-5 on the season)

Historically Speaking 10/16-10/20, 2008

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

NCAA:
Florida State is 1-6 vs. NC St since ’01 – NC State is 33-22 as H/D since ‘80
BYU is 5-1 S/U L6 vs. TCU – TCU is 14-3 at home since ‘05
Hawaii is 3-0 L3 years vs. Boise St – Boise State is 32-13 at H/F since ‘99
Connecticut is 5-0-1 vs. Rutgers since ’01 – Rutgers is 12-5 as H/D since ‘02
Wake Forest is 16-25-1 as favorites since ’99 – Maryland is 7-2 L9 vs. WF
Georgia Tech is 4-10 vs. Clemson since ’94 – Clemson is 3-8 L11 at home
Memphis is 10-4-2 L16 road games – East Carolina is 3-8 L11 as favorites
Miami, FL is 2-7 L9 as road favorites – Duke is 4-13 as H/D since ‘05
Virginia Tech is 2-6 vs. BC since ’00 – BC is 21-3 S/U at home since ‘05
Syracuse is 4-10-1 L15 as DD dogs – South Florida is 4-8 L12 as favorites
Wisconsin is 1-5 vs. Iowa since ’02 – Iowa is 5-10 at home since ‘06
Purdue is 8-4 L12 vs. NW – Northwestern is 18-25 at home since ‘01
Kansas is 8-2 L10 road games – Oklahoma is 12-5 off S/U losses since ‘99
Miami, OH is 7-1 vs. BG since ’99 – Bowling Green is 4-11 L15 at home
W. Michigan is 9-4-1 L14 on road – Central Michigan is 11-3 L14 at home
Nebraska is 8-3 vs. Iowa State since ’97 – Iowa State is 5-0 L5 at home
Mississippi St is 7-2 L9 vs. Tenn. – Tennessee is 11-24-1 as H/F since ‘02
Mississippi is 5-2 L7 vs. Alabama – Alabama is 2-18 L20 as H/F
Vanderbilt is 8-1 L9 as DD dogs – Georgia is 5-11 L16 as DD favorites
Akron is 0-5 L5 vs. Eastern Michigan – Eastern Michigan is 3-9 L12 at home
Colorado St is 12-17 on road since ’03 – Utah is 11-16 as favorites since ‘05
Texas Tech is 21-6 vs. A&M since ’81 – Texas A&M is 16-9 L25 as H/D
Southern Miss is 8-3 L11 road games – Rice is 11-4 L15 at home
USC is 5-10-1 L16 as DD favorites – Washington State is 8-4 L12 as H/D
Pittsburgh is 10-20 as R/F since ’91 – Navy is 3-9 L12 home games
Ohio State is 11-2 L13 as R/F – Michigan State is 30-16-2 as H/D since ‘83
Missouri is 1-8 S/U vs. Texas since ’82 – Texas is 8-1 after Oklahoma
North Carolina is 1-9 L10 vs. Virginia – Virginia is 14-4 as H/D since ‘01
Toledo is 8-1 L9 vs. NIU – Northern Illinois is 27-19 at home since ‘98
Utah St is 19-32-3 as DD dogs since ’99 – Nevada is 13-3 as H/F since ‘04
Marshall is 5-18-2 L25 on road – UAB is 3-12-2 L17 home games
Michigan is 9-0 S/U vs. Penn State since ’97 – Penn State is 12-5 L17 as H/F
San Diego State is 10-16 on road since ’04 – New Mexico is 4-9 L13 as H/F
Oregon St is 6-2 L8 vs. Washington – Washington is 20-12 as H/D since ‘81
Arkansas is 3-6 L9 as underdogs – Kentucky is 39-47 as favorites since ‘80
California is 9-3 L12 vs. Arizona – Arizona is 11-5-1 L17 as H/D
Idaho is 4-8 L12 road games – Louisiana Tech is 8-4-1 L13 as favorites
Kansas State is 6-12 L18 road games – Colorado is 6-1 L7 as favorites
Baylor is 4-12 as DD dogs since ’06 – Ok St is 19-4 as DD favs since ‘02
Army is 9-6-1 L16 on the road – Buffalo is 5-2 S/U L7 home games
LSU is 13-5-1 as R/F since ’03 – South Carolina is 27-39 as H/D since ‘81
UTEP is 10-3 L13 as DD dogs – Tulsa is 12-22 as H/F since ‘92
San Jose State is 9-1 L10 as R/F – New Mexico State is 9-18 L27 as dogs
Houston is 8-15-1 as R/F since ’91 – SMU is 1-7 L8 at home
Indiana is 4-9 as DD dogs since ’05 – Illinois is 7-14 as favorites since ‘03
Air Force is 5-0 L5 road games – UNLV is 10-5 as H/D since ‘03
Stanford is 17-9-1 vs. UCLA since ’81 – UCLA is 22-7 at home since ‘04
Florida Atlantic is 7-2 L9 as favorites – W. Kentucky is 1-4 in lined games
Mid. Tenn. St is 19-13 as DD dogs since ’99 – Louisville is 0-4 L4 as DD favs
North Texas is 7-13 L20 road games – UL-Monroe is 8-12 L20 as favorites
Arkansas St is 23-29 L52 on road– UL-Lafayette is 15-26-3 L44 at home
Florida International is 4-1 L5 road games – Troy is 10-3 L13 as favorites

NFL:

Tennessee is 9-5 L14 as R/F – Kansas City is 41-16-2 as H/D since ‘80
San Diego is 7-1 L8 road games – Buffalo is 11-4 L15 home games
Pittsburgh is 4-9 L13 as R/F – Cincinnati is 2-7 L9 as H/D
Baltimore is 2-10 vs. Miami since ’88 – Miami is 4-18 L22 as favorites
Dallas is 1-7 L8 as DD favorites – St. Louis is 0-6 L6 as H/D
Minnesota is 18-31 vs. Chicago since ’83 – Chicago is 3-8 L11 as H/F
New Orleans is 8-3 L11 at Carolina – Carolina is 13-21-1 as H/F since ‘03
San Francisco is 0-4 L4 vs. NY Giants – NY Giants are 4-8 L12 as H/F
Detroit is 12-5 L17 as dogs of 7 or more – Houston is 9-3 L12 at home
NY Jets are 19-35 S/U on the road since ’02 – Oakland is 5-16 L21 as H/D
Cleveland is 8-4 L12 as dogs of 7 or more – Washington is 4-1 L5 as favs
Indianapolis is 7-4-1 L12 as R/D – Green Bay is 14-21-3 at home since ‘02
Seattle is 0-5 L5 road games – Tampa Bay is 9-4 L13 as favorites
Denver is 3-11 L14 road games – New England is 0-6 L6 at home

Historically Speaking 10/7-10/13, 2008

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

NCAA:
Troy is 5-1 L6 as road favorites – Florida Atlantic is 7-3 at home since ‘06
Clemson is 4-13-1 vs. Wake since ’90 – Wake Forest is 4-14 L18 as H/F
UAB is 4-2 L6 vs. Houston – Houston is 7-19-1 as DD favorites since ‘92
Louisville is 4-10 vs. Memphis since ’90 – Memphis is 7-12-1 L20 at home
East Carolina is 3-7 L10 as R/F – Virginia is 13-4 as H/D since ‘01
Syracuse is 1-6 L7 vs. WV – West Virginia is 14-9-1 as DD favs since ‘05
Iowa is 0-8 L8 as R/F – Indiana is 16-36 as H/D since ‘90
Minnesota is 4-1 L5 road games – Illinois is 4-9 as H/F since ‘03
Michigan State is 4-10 vs. NW since ’90 – Northwestern is 14-6 L20 as H/D
Texas is 12-8 L20 vs. OU – Oklahoma is 6-1 L7 as favorites
Eastern Michigan is 5-11 L16 as dogs – Army is 13-27-1 as favs since ‘88
Iowa State is 3-7 L10 road games – Baylor is 11-3 L14 as favorites
South Carolina is 10-3-1 L14 on road – Kentucky is 14-10-1 L25 as favorites
Western Michigan is 10-15 as R/F since ’98 – Buffalo is 12-8-1 L21 at home
Vanderbilt is 1-5 L6 vs. MSU – Mississippi State is 4-12 L16 at home
Utah is 10-5 vs. Wyoming since ’91 – Wyoming is 11-4 L15 as H/D
Kansas State is 0-8 L8 as R/F – Texas A&M is 16-8 L24 as H/D
Temple is 7-3 L10 on the road – Central Michigan is 7-2 L9 as H/F
Purdue is 4-8 L12 vs. Ohio State – Ohio State is 0-4 L4 as H/F
TCU is 18-8-1 L27 as favorites – Colorado State is 21-10-1 as H/D since ‘85
Oklahoma State is 8-13 as dogs since ’05 – Missouri is 11-6 as H/F since ‘05
Tennessee is 13-6-1 as underdogs since ’04 – Georgia is 6-2 L8 as favorites
Arizona State is 2-6 L8 vs. USC – USC is 26-12 L38 as H/F
UCLA is 16-3-1 L20 as underdogs – Oregon is 15-6-1 L20 as H/F
Toledo is 4-8 As DD dogs since ’98 – Michigan is 8-17-2 as H/F since ‘04
Notre Dame is 5-10 L15 as underdogs – UNC is 5-9-1 L15 home games
Arkansas is 16-8 as DD dogs since ’97 – Auburn is 4-11 L15 as H/F
New Mexico State is 5-9 L14 as DD dogs – Nevada is 13-2 as H/F since ‘04
Miami, OH is 7-4 L11 on the road – N. Illinois is 27-18 at home since ‘98
New Mexico is 7-4 L11 at BYU – BYU is 10-3 as H/F since ‘06
Washington State is 1-7 L8 vs. OSU – Oregon State is 8-2 L10 at home
Arizona is 7-3 L10 at Stanford – Stanford is 3-8 as H/D since ’06
Bowling Green is 5-2 L7 vs. Akron – Akron is 14-7 as H/D since ‘98
Ohio is 2-5 L7 vs. Kent – Kent State is 4-10 at home since ‘05
Rutgers is 1-5 L6 vs. Cincinnati – Cincinnati is 8-2 L10 as H/F
Nebraska is 7-14-1 L22 as R/D – Texas Tech is 39-23-2 as DD favs since ‘86
Colorado is 3-10 L13 on road – Kansas is 9-1 L10 as H/F
Penn State is 1-4 L5 at Wisconsin – Wisconsin is 14-6 as H/D since ‘91
Central Florida is 10-22-1 on road since ’03 – Miami, FL is 4-12 L16 as H/F
LSU is 2-7 L9 vs. Florida – Florida is 16-11-1 at home since ‘04
Utah State is 6-1 L7 on the road – San Jose St is 22-5 as favorites since ‘05
Tulsa is 9-5 as R/F since ’05 – SMU is 0-7 at home since ‘07
Boise State is 6-11 L17 as R/F – Southern Miss is 3-7 L10 as H/D
Tulane is 6-22 S/U L28 road games – UTEP is 6-10 L16 home games
Air Force is 24-39 L63 as R/F – San Diego State is 8-15 as H/D since ‘00
Idaho is 9-19 as +20 or more dogs since ’00 – Fresno St is 3-11 L14 at home
Louisiana Tech is 9-23 L32 on the road – Hawaii is 3-6 L9 at home
Ball State is 4-1 L5 as R/F – Western Kentucky is 1-0 S/U at home this year
UL-Monroe is 13-6 L19 on road – Arkansas State is 24-18 at home since ‘98
MTSU is 13-8-1 on road since ’05 – Florida International is 4-2 L6 at home
UL-Lafayette is 0-8 L8 vs. North Texas – North Texas is 2-6 L8 at home

NFL:
Oakland is 3-7 L10 as 7+ dogs – New Orleans is 10-23-1 as H/F since ‘02
Baltimore is 0-4 L4 vs. Indianapolis – Indianapolis is 1-5 L6 as H/F
Cincinnati is 5-1 L6 as underdogs – NY Jets are 6-0 L6 years off bye week
Carolina is 10-4 L14 vs. Tampa Bay – Tampa Bay is 8-3 L11 at home
Detroit is 1-13 S/U L14 at Minnesota – Minnesota is 13-6 L19 as favorites
Chicago is 10-5-1 L16 on the road – Atlanta is 9-21-1 as H/D since ‘99
Miami is 3-15 S/U L18 road games – Houston is 9-2 L11 home games
St. Louis is 4-9 as DD dogs since ’95 – Washington is 3-10 L13 as DD favs
Jacksonville is 8-4 L12 road games – Denver is 4-13 L17 home games
Philadelphia is 4-8-1 L13 as R/F – San Francisco is 5-13 L18 as underdogs
Dallas is 11-3 L14 vs. Arizona – Arizona is 11-5 L16 home games
Green Bay is 7-3 L10 as underdogs – Seattle is 7-1 L8 as H/F
New England is 22-12-1 as dogs since ’01 – San Diego is 7-1-1 L9 at home
NY Giants are 7-0 L7 as R/F – Cleveland is 8-1 L9 home games


Historically Speaking 9/30-10/6, 2008

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

NCAA:
Florida Atlantic is 3-0 as R/F – MTSU is 4-2 L6 home games
La Tech is 9-22-1 as DD dog since ’02 – Boise St is 31-13-1 as H/F since ‘99
Pittsburgh is 14-7 as DD dogs since ’99 – S. Florida is 14-8 as H/F since ‘01
Memphis is 10-15 as R/F since ’84 – UAB is 10-5-1 as H/D since ‘99
Oregon State is 6-7 L7 after USC – Utah is 17-9-2 at home since ‘03
Cincinnati is 8-16-1 as R/F since ’86 – Marshall is 7-1 as H/D since ‘00
BYU is 12-6 as DD favorites since ’04 – Utah State is 3-10 L13 as H/D
Boston College is 0-6 L6 as R/F – NC State is 10-21-1 at home since ‘03
Rutgers is 10-17 vs. W.Va. since ’80 – W.Va. is 9-14-1 as H/F since ‘03
Penn State is 7-2 vs. Purdue since ’97 – Purdue is 11-15 at home since ‘04
Iowa is 15-7 vs. MSU since ’80 – Michigan St is 15-29-1 at home since ‘01
Indiana Is 4-8 L12 at Minnesota – Minnesota is 27-16 as H/F since ‘97
Maryland is 3-7 L10 as R/F – Virginia is 12-3 L15 as H/D
Connecticut is 8-13 on road since ’04 – UNC is 5-8-1 L13 at home
South Carolina is 0-5 L5 S/U vs. Ole Miss – Mississippi 13-5 L18 as H/D
Texas Tech is 21-28 as R/F since ’80 – Kansas St is 0-4 L4 vs. Texas Tech
Kansas is 8-1 L9 road games – Iowa State is 9-4 L13 at home vs. Kansas
Duke is 14-5 as DD R/D since ’04 – Ga. Tech is 35-51-5 as H/F since ‘80
Auburn is 7-3 L10 vs. Vanderbilt – Vanderbilt is 5-8 as H/D since ‘04
UNLV is 6-16-1 L23 on road – Colorado State is 3-6 L9 at home
Ohio is 9-4 L13 on road – Western Michigan is 0-7-1 L8 home games
Stanford is 0-6 L6 S/U vs. ND – Notre Dame is 5-11-1 L17 as favorites
Army is 0-4 L4 vs. Tulane – Tulane is 24-14-1 as favorite since ‘97
Temple is 6-3 L9 on road – Miami, OH is 3-9 L12 home games
Illinois is 8-2 L10 road games – Michigan is 9-18-2 at home since ‘04
Missouri is 0-15 S/U L15 at Nebraska – Nebraska is 2-9 S/U as H/D since ‘80
Texas is 7-2 L9 vs. Colorado – Colorado is 6-14 as an underdog since ‘05
Florida State is 3-7 L10 vs. Miami, FL – Miami is 21-39 as favorites since ‘02
Arizona State is 9-17 on road since ’03 – Cal is 4-1 L5 S/U & ATS vs. ASU
Florida is 6-0 L6 S/U & ATS vs. Arkansas – Arkansas is 0-5 L5 as H/D
Kentucky is 20-8 L28 as DD dog – Alabama is 2-16 L18 as H/F
SMU is 0-12 L12 S/U on road – UCF is 7-14-1 as favorite since ‘03
Eastern Michigan is 3-1 L4 vs. BG – Bowling Green is 2-10 L12 as H/F
Navy is 8-1 L9 vs. Air Force – Air Force is 6-0 L6 home games
Nevada is 10-18 L28 on the road – Idaho is 0-6 L6 as H/D
SDSU is 28-45-2 as DD dogs since ’80 – TCU is 11-4 as H/F since ‘05
Washington State is 14-6 vs. UCLA since ’84 – UCLA is 12-5 L17 as H/F
Washington is 2-6 L8 vs. Arizona – Arizona is 5-20 L25 as H/F
N. Illinois is 19-9 as DD dogs since ’98 – Tennessee is 5-14-1 L20 as H/F
Ball State is 6-2 L8 vs. Toledo – Toledo is 35-19 at home since ‘98
Akron is 18-13 as dog since ’04 – Kent St is 17-26 at home since ‘98
UTEP is 14-8 L22 as dogs – Southern Miss is 12-8 as favorites since ‘06
Oklahoma is 5-10 as R/F since ’04 – Baylor is 2-10 as H/D since ‘05
Texas A&M is 17-28 dogs since ’99 – Oklahoma St is 17-9 as H/F since ‘99
Ohio State is 7-15-2 vs. Wisconsin since ’80 – UW is 14-5 as H/D since ‘91
Rice is 7-3-2 vs. Tulsa since ’96 – Tulsa is 4-7 L11 as DD favorites
Oregon is 3-1 L4 at USC – USC is 11-3 L14 off S/U losses
Wyoming is 3-6 L9 vs. New Mexico – New Mexico is 3-9 L12 as H/F
Hawaii is 6-3 L9 vs. Fresno State – Fresno State is 3-14 L17 as favorites
Western Kentucky is 0-3 L3 – Virginia Tech is 15-9 as DD favorites since ‘04
UL-Lafayette is 4-7 L11 vs. ULM – UL-Monroe is 7-10-1 at home since ‘03
Florida Intl is 4-9 L13 since ’06 – North Texas is 5-10 at home since ‘05

NFL:
Indianapolis is 11-1 all-time S/U vs. Houston – Houston is 6-0 L6 as H/D
Tennessee is 5-10 vs. Baltimore since ’97 – Baltimore is 4-7 L11 as H/D
San Diego is 23-10 as R/F since ’92 – Miami is 2-8 L10 as H/D
Kansas City is 7-2 L9 as R/D – Carolina is 12-21-1 as H/F since ‘03
Wash. is 8-15-3 vs. Philly since ’95 – Philadelphia is 8-12-1 as H/F since ‘05
Chicago is 5-13 S/U at Detroit since ’90 – Detroit is 53-39-1 as H/D since ‘80
Atlanta is 9-4 L13 vs. Green Bay – Green Bay is 6-1 L7 as H/F
Seattle is 6-13 on road since ’06 – NY Giants are 3-8 L11 as H/F
Tampa Bay is 16-26 on the road since ’03 – Denver is 2-11 L13 as H/F
New England is 21-8 as R/F since ’03 – San Fran. is 14-19-1 home since ‘04
Buffalo is 19-26-2 as R/F since ’91 – Arizona is 10-5 L15 at home
Cincinnati is 8-3 L11 as DD dog – Dallas is 5-8 L13 as H/F
Pittsburgh is 3-10 L13 vs. Jacksonville – Jacksonville is 9-6 as H/F since ‘06
Minnesota is 18-24 on road since ’03 – New Orl. is 30-48 at home since ‘03

NCAA (through September 20)
Home teams went 24-21 last week (83-79-4 on the season)
Favorites went 24-21 last week (87-82-4 on the season)
Double-Digit Favorites went 9-7 last week (52-36-3 on the season)
Road Favorites went 8-8 last week (26-25-1 on the season)

NFL (through September 22):
Home teams went 9-8 last week (22-24-1 on the season)
Favorites went 10-6 last week (27-19-1 on the season)
Road Favorites went 1-0 last week (9-4 on the season)
Double-Digit Favorites went 0-3 last week (0-5 on the season)
Over/Under = 11/5 last week (25/22 on the season)

Historically Speaking 9/25-9/29, 2008

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

NCAA:
SMU is 0-11 S/U L11 on road – Tulane is 5-11-1 at home since ‘05
USC is 3-5 L8 vs. Oregon State – Oregon State is 10-6 L16 as DD dog
Connecticut is 7-13 on road since ’04 – Louisville is 1-5 as H/F since ‘07
Navy is 12-6 L18 as DD dog – Wake Forest is 4-13 L17 as H/F
Western Michigan is 1-9 L10 as a favorite – Temple is 8-1 L9 as H/D
Marshall is 3-8 L11 as DD dog – West Virginia is 3-7 L10 as a favorite
Pittsburgh is 10-20 L30 as R/F – Syracuse is 0-6-1 as H/D since ‘07
Michigan State is 14-7 L21 vs. Indiana – Indiana is 10-19 as H/D since ‘00
Northwestern is 9-16 L25 vs. Iowa – Iowa is 4-8 L12 as H/F
Virginia is 5-12-1 as R/F since ’99 – Duke is 5-13 at home since ‘05
North Carolina is 5-8 L13 on the road – Miami, FL is 5-11 L16 at home
Mississippi is 5-1 L6 vs. Florida – Florida is 0-6 L6 games after Tennessee
Mississippi State is 2-14 L16 vs. LSU – LSU is 1-7 L8 as DD favorites
N. Illinois is 36-24 on road since ’98 – E. Michigan is 4-8 as H/D since ‘04
Buffalo is 12-5 L17 on the road – Central Michigan is 7-1 L8 as H/F
Cincinnati is 8-15-1 as R/F since ’93 – Akron is 13-7 as H/D since ‘98
Houston is 69-88-2 as dogs since ’80 – ECU is 10-14* L25 as favorites
Purdue is 1-12 S/U L13 at Notre Dame – Notre Dame is 4-11 L15 at home
Minnesota is 5-13 vs. OS since ’86 – Ohio St. is 11-4 L15 as DD/F vs. Big 10
Virginia Tech is 14-4 L18 as dog – Nebraska is 2-6 L8 as a favorite
Stanford is 8-15 as dogs since ’06 – Washington is 9-19 at home since ‘04
Colorado State is 5-10 L15 as dogs – California is 4-16 L20 as DD favorites
Alabama is 49-28-1 as a dog since ’81 – Georgia is 4-1 L5 vs. Alabama
Tennessee is 14-5-1 as an underdog – Auburn is 4-11 L15 games after LSU
Wisconsin is 5-2 L7 as R/F – Michigan is 2-8-1 L11 vs. Wisconsin
Maryland is 6-2 L8 vs. Clemson – Clemson is 2-7 L9 as favorites
Fresno State is 1-6 L7 as R/F – UCLA is 21-6 at home since ‘04
Bowling Green is 31-21 as a dog since ’98 – Wyoming is 1-7-1 L9 at home
Oregon is 14-5-1 as DD/F since ’04 – Wash. St. is 8-3 as H/D since ‘01
TCU is 12-18-2 on road since ’03 – Oklahoma is 10-2 L12 as H/F
UAB is 9-4 as DD dogs since ’99 – South Carolina is 7-2-1 as H/F since ‘05
Army is 5-12-1 L18 as dogs – Texas A&M is 27-18 as DD favorites since ‘96
Kent State is 0-6 L6 as underdogs – Ball State is 7-1 L8 off S/U dog wins
South Florida is 2-6 L8 as R/F – NC State is 32-21 as H/D since ‘80
Colorado is 4-11 on road since ’05 – Florida State is 4-14 L18 as H/F
Central Florida is 1-7-1 as R/F since ’03 – UTEP is 6-2 L8 as H/D
Illinois is 7-3 L10 as underdogs – Penn State is 12-4 L16 as H/F
New Mexico is 3-1 L4 vs. NMS – New Mexico State is 7-2 L9 home games
Idaho is 3-13 L16 as underdogs – San Diego State is 6-2 L8 at home
Nevada is 3-0 S/U & ATS L3 vs. UNLV – UNLV is 7-4 L11 at home
SJSU is 8-4 L12 vs. Hawaii – Hawaii is 13-6 L19 as H/F
Western Kentucky is 0-2 in lined games – Kentucky is 2-5 L7 as H/F
Arkansas St. is 2-0 S/U L2 in this series - Memphis is 4-8 at home since ‘06
Troy is 10-4 as DD dogs since ‘04 – Oklahoma State is 16-8 L24 as H/F
Florida Intl is 13-9 L22 as DD dogs – Toledo is 35-18 at home since ‘98
UL-Lafayette is 5-10 as dogs since ’06 – Kansas State is 9-1-1 L11 as H/F
North Texas is 6-10 on road since ’06 – Rice is 1-6 L7 as favorites
Arkansas is 4-0 L4 vs. Texas (3-1 S/U) – Texas is 14-6-1 L21 as H/F

NFL:
Denver is 10-16-1 L17 at KC – Kansas City is 40-16-2 as H/D since ‘80
Cleveland is 1-6 S/U L7 vs. Cincy – Cincinnati is 3-8 as favorites since ‘07
Houston is 9-3 all-time vs. Jacksonville – Jacksonville is 9-13 L22 as -7+ favs
Arizona is 25-39-2 on road since ’00 – NY Jets are 47-81-1 as H/F since ‘80
SF is 2-7 L9 after b2b S/U wins – New Orleans is 11-26-1 as H/F since ‘01
Atlanta is 8-14 after L22 S/U wins – Carolina is 11-21-3 as H/F since ‘03
Minnesota is 11-17-2 as dogs since ’05 – Tennessee is 7-14 L21 at home
Green Bay is 1-5 S/U L6 at Tampa – Tampa Bay is 7-3 at home since ‘07
Buffalo is 29-41-2 as R/F since ’80 – St. Louis is 23-41-1 as H/D since ‘81
San Diego is 13-4 L17 vs. Oakland – Oakland is 5-14 as H/D since ‘04
Washington is 7-15 at Dallas since ’85 – Dallas is 95-74-5 as H/F since ‘80
Philadelphia is 4-7-1 L12 as R/F – Chicago is 41-25 as H/D since ‘80
Baltimore is 12-17-1 L30 at Pitt– Pittsburgh is 63-43-1 at home off a S/U loss

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