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Free NCAA Pick Tuesday

#521 Wisconsin +14.5 over Purdue 6:00 PM CT

Purdue is 6-0 in Big Ten play but four of those wins came by slim margins of 12 or fewer points. The Boilermakers got a blowout win at Minnesota on Saturday against a depleted Gophers squad and the early Big Ten slate has been fairly soft. Purdue’s best win came by just a point at Michigan and that is one of just two top 30 wins on the season for Purdue.

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Wisconsin is in a down year with injuries taking a big toll. The Badgers are 9-9 but through an extremely difficult schedule most loses have been very close, with seven of nine losses coming by 12 or fewer points. Wisconsin plays at an extremely slow pace as points will be at a premium and this double-digit spread will feel even larger given the pace of play and the limited amount of possessions. This is a third straight road game with Wisconsin losing the past two road games but both of those losses came by just four points and the Badgers have had a full week to prepare for this game.

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Wisconsin won at Penn State and played competitively at highly ranked Virginia and this is a key stretch in the season for the Badgers now rested with time to prepare for one of the biggest games of the season. These teams combined for just 121 points last season as this double-digit spread will be very appealing at that pace. Wisconsin has lost three home games this season but all against high quality teams and now the team should be more comfortable in the current rotation.

Struggling from 3-point range was the common thread in both Purdue losses and the Badgers have the ability to make those looks difficult while keeping this game tight with an inflated spread as Purdue has grown overvalued through a soft slate and the Badgers are still a dangerous team in Big Ten play with this biggest Wisconsin underdog spread in a long time.

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