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Free NBA Pick Monday

#710 Dallas Mavericks +2 over Miami Heat 7:35 PM CT

In short order Miami has climbed from out of the playoffs to the #4 seed in the Eastern Conference playoff picture with a 10-4 run since late December. This could be a dangerous game following a narrow Saturday win over surging Charlotte and with a road date in Cleveland up next, with the Cavaliers the next team ahead of the Heat in the standings and with obviously some history between the players and coaches.

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Dallas had a brutal 2-14 start to the season before playing pretty well in late November and December. The Mavericks are 1-6 in the past seven games however but in that run there is an overtime loss and two other defeats by three and two points, with both of those misses at Denver. It has been a tough run in the schedule with playoff teams in the past six games despite mostly competitive games and the lone win was an emphatic win over the Wizards. Dallas is 10-17 S/U at home and actually 9-9 S/U the past 18 home dates while riding a 10-8 ATS run in those games.

The Heat are 4-6 ATS the last 10 games as a road favorite and Miami’s overall schedule rates as one of the weakest in the NBA. Dallas has as many top 10 wins as Miami despite the contrast in stature between the teams in the standings. The host has won four of the last five in this series and Dallas is 18-11 ATS vs. winning teams this season including 8-4 ATS in home games vs. those quality teams.

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Big E turned in a 3-0 weekend and is now on a 29-15 run in college Biggie plays – Get his next 10* for $9.94 or play for a week for $69.94 with three 20* picks coming up in the next seven days. Bobby Dalton has a guaranteed selection in tonight’s TV game Kansas vs. Kansas State for only $12. Nelly’s is on a 47-33 run and is 24-11 in the NBA this season, don’t miss Monday’s guaranteed selection for only $15!