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Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#763 Missouri +5.5 over Alabama 8:00 PM CT

Despite losing two star freshmen this season Missouri is on pace to exceed last season’s results by a significant margin. Not likely a NCAA Tournament team the next two weeks present a great opportunity for the Tigers to climb back into that conversation with notable games with Alabama and Kentucky this week. Missouri is just 3-5 in SEC play but two losses came by just two points each as the record could easily be reversed. The shooting numbers are terrific all over the floor with a 39 percent 3-point shooting and 77 percent free throw shooting.

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Missouri has four wins away from home this season and riding three straight defeats this is a critical game for the Tigers. Alabama has a very high ceiling as big wins this month over Auburn and Oklahoma attest. This is a dangerous game in-between last weekend’s huge game with the Sooners and a big matchup this weekend vs. Florida. Alabama only have one home loss on the season but six wins have come by single-digits as there have been many close calls for this team.

Unlike Missouri, Alabama is shooting just 33 percent from 3-point range and just 68 percent at the line for a big contrast. The Tide has an outstanding defense but they haven’t always been able to sustain that intensity for 40 minutes. Alabama has also played arguably the weakest SEC schedule so far this season, yet to play Florida, Kentucky, or Tennessee. Both meetings between these teams were tight last season despite Missouri winning only eight games all season and this looks like a good scheduling spot to fade an erratic young Tide team coming off big national spotlight win with this fairly low spread designed to entice action on the home favorite that everyone just watched beat Oklahoma.

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