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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#576 Rutgers +16 over Purdue 3:00 PM CT

Purdue is riding 18 consecutive wins with a perfect mark in Big Ten play but they have had close calls with single-digit wins in the past three games. This is a dangerous game facing what is perceived as the worst team in the Big Ten on the road heading to Rutgers Saturday while next on the schedule are conference title deciding contests with Ohio State and Michigan State next week.

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Purdue won by 31 in early January hosting Rutgers but the Knights have competed well in most home games. Both Big Ten wins came at home as did a nice non-conference upset over Seton Hall. Michigan State won by just 10 in Piscataway while Nebraska won by just six and in non-conference play Florida State won by only five.

Rutgers ranks 17th nationally in defensive efficiency as the underdog points will be appealing with Rutgers able to slow the pace of this game down. The Knights have outstanding turnover numbers on both sides of the ball and have defended the 3-point shot with great success allowing only 32 percent from beyond the arc this season.

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Rutgers has played the second toughest Big Ten schedule at this point in the season while Purdue’s schedule ranks as the second easiest slate. Purdue remains the Big Ten favorite and a national threat but this massive home underdog spread is alluring with the Boilermakers not playing their best games of late and featuring the biggest games of the season up next.

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