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Free NBA Pick Monday

#709 Charlotte Hornets +5.5 over Denver Nuggets 8:05 PM CT

The Hornets are 12-8 the past 20 games and there are a number of high quality wins over top teams in that stretch. Charlotte Is only three games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and unlike three teams currently in the field the Hornets have a positive scoring differential despite still being six games below .500.

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Charlotte is just 8-15 S/U on the road but they have won five of the last seven road games and Denver could be a in a flat spot following up a huge weekend with wins over the Thunder and Spurs. The Nuggets have had four straight games against top contenders for a grueling scheduling run and Denver has lost four times at home since December 30 despite the glowing 21-7 S/U record at the Pepsi Center on the season.

The scoring differential numbers are nearly identical for these teams and the Nuggets have played a weak schedule, struggling against quality teams with a 5-11 S/U mark vs. top 10 teams and an 11-17 S/U mark vs. the top half of the league. Charlotte has won the past three meetings in this series and Denver is a losing ATS team vs. teams with a losing record this season.

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