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Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

‘UNDER 146.5’ #747/748 Ohio State at Purdue 7:30 PM CT

After slipping by Michigan with a one-point win in early January, Purdue turned in wins by 34, 28, and 23 the next three games to establish itself as the Big Ten frontrunner. Purdue remains undefeated at 12-0 in Big Ten play but in now four straight games it has taken close calls to keep the streak alive regardless of the competition. Purdue’s last four wins have come by four, seven, eight, and two points and while this home date with Ohio State matches two teams in the first two spots in the Big Ten standings, Saturday’s game with Michigan State seems more important in the big picture.

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If you are looking for top 20 wins for Purdue there aren’t any, as beating Ohio State Wednesday would qualify as the strongest win of the season to date for the Boilermakers. Wins over Marquette, Arizona, and Louisville no longer stand out in non-conference play and Purdue has played one of the weakest Big Ten schedules so far. Purdue narrowly out-paces Ohio State in conference offensive efficiency but the top defense belongs to the surprising Buckeyes who should control the pace in this matchup and aim to grind out a tight lower scoring game.

Ohio State has not lost a true road game yet this season and while this will be by far the toughest test this team continues to impress with Chris Holtmann deserving of national coach of the year consideration in his first season in Columbus. The only Big Ten loss for Ohio State came by three points in a game where Penn State shot over 58 percent, including making 11 of 14 3-point shots. Despite Purdue’s size Ohio State is the far more impressive defensive rebounding team and Ohio State has scored at a higher percentage inside of the 3-point line. The Boilermakers are much more reliant on 3-point shooting and despite some high scoring games for both teams these are relatively slow tempo teams. ‘Under’ looks promising with high stakes in the Big Ten tonight.

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