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Free NCAA Pick Thursday

#548 USC -4.5 over Oregon 8:00 PM CT

Coming off heavy personnel losses after last year’s Final Four result Oregon has fallen to 17-8 this season in a mediocre Pac-12. It may appear that the Ducks are back on track with wins in five of the last six but the past four wins have come against the four worst teams in the conference with three of four wins at home. The last road game for Oregon featured a 35-point loss to Stanford and the Ducks have just three road wins on the season.

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This is a critical juncture for USC having dropped three games in a row but they faced arguably the Pac-12’s best three teams on the road in succession and two of three games were decided by three or fewer points. USC has won the last five home games and they won 75-70 at Oregon about a month ago led by a big edge on the offensive glass.

Oregon has faced the second weakest schedule in Pac-12 yet USC bests the Ducks in both offensive and defensive efficiency in league play by a substantial margin. Oregon could have some inside scoring opportunities in this matchup but the season is on the line for a USC team headed for the NCAA Tournament bubble, currently considered right on the cut line. The only two major conference home losses for the Trojans came against elite defensive teams, something the Ducks certainly are not.

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