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Free NCAA Pick Tuesday

#527/528 ‘UNDER 139.5’ Indiana at Nebraska 8:00 PM CT

Indiana has won four in a row but they have beat the four worst teams in the Big Ten in that stretch and they were fortunate in a very narrow comeback win at Iowa on Saturday winning 84-82. Indiana made 14 3-point shots in Saturday’s win hitting 58 percent from beyond the arc. Now 9-7 in Big Ten play Indiana has made a nice run back to respectability but they are 0-5 vs. the top five teams in the Big Ten which Nebraska is a part of and the recent wins with improved offensive numbers have conveniently been against the worst defensive teams in the conference.

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Nebraska’s NCAA Tournament hopes took a big blow with a loss at Illinois on Sunday, snapping a six-game streak. Nebraska is 11-5 in Big Ten play but like Indiana most of the wins came against the bottom of the conference. Nebraska is 13-1 S/U at home however with a perfect 7-0 Big Ten record at home including beating Michigan. The lone loss on the season in Lincoln came by one-point against Kansas and three of the last four home wins have come by double-digits. The season is on the line for Nebraska tonight and after allowing more than 70 points for the sixth time in 16 Big Ten games the defensive intensity should be escalated.

These teams are both in the top five in defensive efficiency in Big Ten play while being two of the worst shooting teams with both teams below 35 percent from 3-point range. Indiana is also a below 64 percent free throw shooting team and Nebraska has featured the Big Ten’s best 3-point defense and the second best effective field goal defense in the conference. These teams combined for 170 points last season in a road win for Nebraska but that was with a much different Hoosiers team under Tom Crean. Even with 84 points Saturday Indiana has averaged just 65 points per game on the road in conference play and they averaged just 60 points per game against the defenses that rank ahead of Nebraska.

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