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Free NFL Pick Sunday

#467 New Orleans Saints +2 over Atlanta Falcons 12:00 PM CT

Atlanta lost a defensive battle in Week 1 but won a shootout last week. The later is expected this week though these teams split lower scoring games last December. The Saints narrowly avoided a 0-2 start to the season and look like a risky performer in the season’s first road game given a poor September track record in the Sean Payton era. Drew Brees is still posting tremendous numbers however and while the Saints are vulnerable against the pass the run defense has been capable.

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New Orleans was a greatly improved defensive team last season and could see the numbers improve in the coming weeks skewed upward after the big numbers from Tampa Bay in Week 1. In contrast the Falcons have allowed 5.2 yards per carry on the ground as Brees and the Saints may be able to provide a more balanced attack this week in what could be a big day for Alvin Kamara who has been held to just 75 rushing yards so far this season.

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The Falcons have been beset by defensive injuries while Devonta Freeman also remains out of action. Cam Newton threw for 335 yards with a 105.3 QB Rating against the Falcons last week in Atlanta and the Saints have won in five of the last nine trips to Atlanta with all but one loss a single-score game. Atlanta was fortunate with three fumbles last week that were all recovered and the ground game could favor New Orleans despite high profile passers and a high total on this key NFC South battle.

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