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Free NFL Pick Sunday

#260 Dallas Cowboys -2.5 over Detroit Lions 12:00 PM CT

Most expected Dallas to be a team back in the NFC race and a contender in the East against the Super Bowl champion Eagles. Injuries have taken a toll as the offensive line isn’t the force it has been the past two seasons while Dak Prescott hasn’t matched his results from the past two seasons. Dallas has drawn three quality defensive teams however and last week’s great performance notwithstanding, Detroit should be the worst defensive team on the Cowboys schedule in the first month.

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Detroit dominating New England Sunday night in a desperation spot and a mammoth contest for Matt Patricia has pushed the Cowboys to below a field goal as a home favorite in Week 4. The Lions are on a 20-34 S/U and a 21-32-1 ATS run in road games. Dallas is a slight home favorite despite the #3 total defense in the NFL through three weeks and the Cowboys have an elite pass defense which is critical against a Lions team that routinely struggles to run the ball.

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Dallas has surrendered only 6.6 yards per pass on the season while tied for second in the NFL with 11 sacks even though they haven’t picked up an interception yet. Dallas has also allowed only 3.4 yards per rush on the season as while the Cowboys may be limited on offense they likely don’t need a big number to win this game. Detroit has scored 70 points in three games and seven of those points came on defense while another 14 came late in the fourth quarter of a game that was already decided.

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