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Free NFL Pick Sunday

#267 Arizona Cardinals +15.5 over Kansas City Chiefs 12:00 PM CT

This is the type of game where it will be dangerous to support a massive favorite with an 8-1 ATS record. The Chiefs continue to amaze but the defense gives up big yardage every week and this will be the biggest Chiefs favorite spread as far as our records go back to 1980.

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While there isn’t a lot to like about a 2-6 Cardinals team with a rookie quarterback on the road given the 23-point difference in scoring per game, the Cardinals have had two weeks to prepare for the matchup. Arizona has held most foes to lower scoring games and Josh Rosen has been arguably the most promising of the rookie quarterback class so far this season.

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Kansas City has a huge game next week in Mexico against the Rams ahead of a late Week 12 bye week as the scheduling spot has to produce some strain this week with next week’s international game certainly being dubbed a potential Super Bowl preview. NFL underdogs of 15 or more points are on a 29-23-1 ATS run since 2005 as well.

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