#636 Kansas State -3 over Kansas 8:00 PM CT
Kansas picked up a dominant home win over Texas Tech on Saturday to break a 2-game slide but the Jayhawks have lost five of six road games this season with only a narrow win at Baylor in early January. This is always a huge game for Kansas State and this year’s Wildcats team has what it takes to break an eight-game slide in this series including losing all three meetings last season. Kansas State battled injuries and offensive inconsistency early in the season but has turned a corner for a 6-0 Big XII run to sit ahead of its rival in the current standings.
Kansas State has only one home loss all season while besting TCU and Texas Tech by double-digits in the past two home games, holding those teams to just 100 points combined. Kansas State has significant defensive edges in this matchup and should negate the ability to score inside for the Jayhawks. Kansas has also been the Big XII worst free throw shooting team which should be a negative factor for the road team in a potentially close game.
This year’s Kansas team has battled turnovers and Kansas State is one of top teams nationally at creating turnovers on defense and the Wildcats are underrated having played part of the season without star Center Dean Wade. Kansas might still also be without starter Marcus Garrett who missed the last game after already losing Udoka Azubuike earlier this season as this isn’t the team Bill Self expected to have coming back after last season’s Final Four run. The line swinging four points from its release pushes this selection down to a Free Pick level however.
Nelly’s Basketball is 56-28 since Dec. 6, winning two thirds of our selections over the past two months. We had a dominant win from a NBA underdog last night to reach a 21-9 on current NBA run along with a 29-15 college run. We had a huge 31-13 February in 2018 and are ready for another big month – join us for all remaining February picks for $229!