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MONMOUTH, ST JOE’S 20* WINNERS, CBB ON BLISTERING 23-12/+20 RUN; 25* GOY GOES TOMORROW! Hello everyone and welcome to Week 18 of College Hoops! Today is Friday, March 6 and I have a 10* Biggie play for today’s action!
BASKETBALL: 25* REG SEASON GOY SATURDAY + FINAL FOUR 20* CONF GOYS! March has arrived and this week is my BIGGEST WEEK YET! I’ll have FOUR MORE 20* CONF GOY plays (Monday from the Big Sky, Tuesday from the CAA, Wednesday from the A10, Thursday from the CUSA) AND my 25* Regular Season GOY will be releases on Saturday AND 10* Biggie plays every day in an ENORMOUS 7-Day package for $99.94! My 25* Regular Season GOYs are on a 3-0 run and 6-1 the last seven years! I’ve also launched my March Madness Package that gives you EVERY CBB PLAY from now until April’s Championship Game of just $199.94!
You can call the office to get information and pricing details for any of my packages at 1-800-336-3559 or go online to www.nellysports.com.
Next update:
CBB – Saturday by 9am with 25* GOY and 10* Biggie
FB – August with 10* Biggie on HOF Game
Thanks, and good luck!
BONUS: ML Dog of the Day – GEORGIA SOUTHERN (CBB) +180
Posted Nov 3, 2025
Hello everyone and WELCOME to the 2025 College Hoops season!! This year marks my 22nd season of handicapping College Hoops on Nelly’s Sportsline and I’m so grateful and blessed to be able to be here for another year. I haven’t had a losing season since 2017 and my run in CBB is now up to 602-558/+94 since 2/28/19! That includes successfully navigating shortened seasons and odd schedules during the pandemic AND the ever-shifting roster landscape that NIL has brought to the table! I can’t wait to tip off another big season…..let’s get after it and have more fun again this year!
This year’s season tips on Monday, November 3rd and we will not look back! From that day until Championship Monday in April, the Big E will have at least one 10* play for college hoops EVERY DAY a game is played! Every single day, the B.E.S.T. will release a 10* Biggie play on the hottest play of the day, and, like my football packages, every month I’ll have a 15* Game of the Month! I will also have 20* Conference Games of the Year scattered throughout the season along with my 25* Games of the Year designated for my very BEST regular season and Tournament plays of the season!
As I’ve mentioned previously, I’ve moved to a more industry standard +/- EV unit-based scoring system as opposed to defaulting to a -110 juice for every play. The reality of the sports wagering world today is both lines and juice vary from state to state and book to book, so using a flat 10% is more inaccurate than not estimating juice at all. All of that said, rest assured, my “star method” won’t change. I’ll still (always) have my traditional 10, 15, 20, and 25* Biggies. The change will be adding a real layer of value in association. For example, a 10* play is a 1-unit bet for a player, a 15* play is a 2-unit bet, a 20* is a 3-unit bet, and a 25* GOY is a 5-unit play. This allows players to define their own units….it could be $10, $100, or $1,000, depending on their bankroll, with the juice implied. A win on a 10* play is +1, a loss would be -1, etc. This allows us all to speak a common language with a common measurement of success. As always, questions and feedback are always welcome!
No matter how they are measured, the last 7 seasons have shown long-term success! Since March of 2019, ALL CBB selections from the Big E have gone 602-558 which has resulted in +94 units. That means a $100 player is up just short of $10k in that span!
Highlights from the last few years include:
- 25* plays have been very successful including:
- 6-1 run in Regular Season GOYs
- 2-1 run in NCAA Tournament GOYs
- 5-1 run overall in the last 3 years
- 20* Conf GOYs are 117-96 over the last 8 years including:
- 8-3 run in AAC GOYs
- 2-0 run in Big 10 GOYs
- 5-0 run in Big Sky GOYs and 11-5 ALL TIME
- 5-2 run in CUSA GOYs
- 5-2 run in Horizon GOYs and 13-5 ALL TIME
- 10-5 run in Ivy GOYs
- 9-0 run in MAAC GOYs and 13-5 ALL TIME
- 2-1 run in MAC GOYs
- 7-1 run in Missouri Valley GOYs and 10-6 ALL TIME
- 6-2 run in Mountain West GOYs
- 2-0 run in Ohio Valley GOYs
- 7-2 run in SEC GOYs and 12-5 ALL TIME
- 2-0 run in Summit GOYs and 9-4 ALL TIME
- 5-3 run in Sun Belt GOYs and 10-6 ALL TIME
- 2-0 run in SWAC GOYs
- 3-0 run in West Coast GOYs
- 15* CBB GOMs are 15-5 over the last 4 years
- NCAA Tournament Biggies:
- 19-14 run in 1st Round Biggies
- 4-0 run in Elite 8 Biggies
- 4-0 run in Final Four Biggies
Let’s take you through a typical week with the Big E. In the TV-dominated world of “all sports, all the time”, 10* Biggies can and will happen any day! Every week, the Big E will have 10* Biggie plays every day there’s a game! These plays are available individually for $9.94 and again, these are GUARANTEED plays, so you only pay if I give you a winner. Clients should ALWAYS be on the lookout for Big E’s promotional Biggies….every month, there is a 15* Game of the Month for $15.94. Games that really stand out can bring a 20* Conference GOY for $20.94. Finally, the top Regular Season and the top NCAA Tourney games of the year will spawn 25* GOY PLAYS for $49.94!
Did someone say packages? The Big E’s got ’em….big ones, too! Catering to the weekly or situational player, the B.E.S.T. will have weekly, monthly, and various promotional packages throughout the year! Just check out www.nellysports.com regularly to see what the Big E is cooking up at any given time. And, if you are someone like me who shops at CostCo and buys things in bulk for cheap, you are amongst friends! Please direct your attention to the Big E’s seasonal packages below and get ALL your picks early for ONE low price!!
FULL COURT FULL SEASON PACKAGE: $599.94
It all starts with a 10* Biggie on November 3rd and charges ahead, giving you access to EVERY college hoops selection through Championship Monday in April! This package includes:
- EVERY Regular and Post Season 10* Biggie play
- EVERY 15* GOM
- EVERY 20* Conference GOY
- 25* Regular Season GOY
- 25* Post Season GOY
You’ve seen the results above….add them all together and this package is a MUST HAVE!!! In a typical year, this package includes ~200 plays. That means the plays in this package comes out to an unbelievable $3.00/play for wall-to-wall college hoops plays throughout the entire season!
BOWLS & B-BALL PACKAGE: $399.94
Back by popular demand! The Bowls & B-ball Package will be released Monday, December 1st and will get EVERY Football and EVERY College Hoops play through the College Football Championship Game on January 19th in one convenient package! This package includes:
- 25* NCAA Bowl GOY
- 15* CBB GOM for December
- 15* NFL GOM for December
- 20* CBB CONF GOYs
- EVERY CBB 10* Biggie play
- EVERY FB 10* Biggie play
- EVERY edition of the Top 5 Ticket
I’ve absolutely ROCKED the Bowl Season over the years with 25* Bowl GOY WINNERS in ’07, ’08, ’10, ’13, ’14, ’15, ’16, ’17, ’18, ’20, ’22, AND ‘24! Hoops plays during the Bowls & B-ball period have been consistently good over the long term, going 360-333 since 2008! This package projects the inclusion of 130 combined plays, which comes out to a holiday budget-friendly $3.08/play for one of the best crossover packages in the biz!
COMPLETE MARCH MADNESS PACKAGE: $199.94
Championship Week is my favorite week of the season…..for me, it tops even the first week of the Tourney, so I have to include it in any Post Season Package! In fact, March is just so mad, I include the ENTIRE month in this package! I’ve gone 63-55 over the last four years in the NCAA Tournament with a 19-14 run in the 1st Round, a 4-0 run in the Elite 8, and a 4-0 Final Four run all active! Last year, I had a total of 64 plays in March and at $199.94, that’s just $3.13/play to get ALL the Madness!
Good luck to all and enjoy the season…..may we all be dancing in March!!
Big E.
