Free Pick | NFL | Sunday | Dec. 14

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#470 New York Giants -2.5 over Washington Commanders 12 PM CT

Washington delivered a convincing season opener win over the Giants, but it is difficult to believe the Commanders have won just twice since. After a few competitive losses including taking Denver to overtime in Week 13 in the spotlight, the Commanders bottomed out last week, shutout against Minnesota. It was the fifth loss on the current eight-game slide by at least 21 points for the Commanders. The Giants have lost seven in a row but will enter this game off a bye week. Every loss on the slide for the Giants has come against a winning team and five of seven have come in one-score finals as this is a better team than the record suggests, a claim Washington really can’t make even though they were in the NFC Championship last season. The Giants have not been a home favorite since the 2022-23 season, as this isn’t an easy group to lay points with but the market having a 2-win team laying points isn’t insignificant. Washington is just 1-5 ATS in road games this season and Jayden Daniels is out again after his return last week didn’t last long. Marcus Mariota has proven capable with competitive outings this season, but he may not have great support with a rash of injuries to the receiving corps including losing Zach Ertz last week while Deebo Samuel and Chris Rodriguez are questionable. The defense could be without Bobby Wagner and Jonathan Jones as well. Washington has allowed a 110 QB Rating against this season, by far the worst in the NFL and Jaxson Dart has impressed with the 7th best QBR in the NFL in his 10 games, sitting 0.1 behind Josh Allen. Mike Kafka is looking for his first NFL win as the interim head coach of the Giants and after facing three of the NFL’s best teams this should be by far his best opportunity with Kafka and the rest of the staff and many players still playing for a future role.