Free Pick | MLB | Sunday | June 7

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#957 Washington Nationals (Cavalli) +115 over Arizona Diamondbacks (Soroka) 2:15 PM CT

Washington is 21-12 on the road and the Nationals have won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 20-2. Arizona’s lineup has been held to two or fewer runs five times in the past eight games and while Arizona hits left-handers with success, the Diamondbacks are batting .178 with 2.7 runs per nine in the past 10 games vs. right-handers. Cade Cavalli has a 10.3 K/9 and a 2.99 FIP in 13 starts for Washington to provide stability in the rotation for the Nationals. He has just one start all season in which he allowed more than three earned runs and his home and road splits are nearly identical. Neither bullpen in this pairing has been successful in recent weeks, but Washington pitching has allowed four or fewer runs in seven of the past 10 games. Arizona has allowed at least five runs in six of the past nine games. Michael Soroka’s career revival so far this season was not an expected result as Soroka has been on a great run since the start of May with a quality start in five of six games. He has faced Colorado twice and San Francisco also in that run as there have been some favorable draws. He allowed four runs in his last start at home facing the Dodgers and Washington is also a top four ranked wOBA team this season like Los Angeles is. Arizona in contrast is 26th as the Diamondbacks have scored more than a run less than Washington per game this season on average. Many may support Arizona to avoid the sweep on Sunday but this price isn’t justified as Cavalli is pitching extremely well and neither bullpen can be counted on in the late innings.