Point Train | FREE PICK | Friday

POINT TRAIN had huge profits last week going 6-0 Saturday & Sunday!

Big picks ahead this week including the season’s first 7-unit pick!

POINT TRAIN – CFB

Army @ Temple – Friday – 4:00pm ET

PICK: UNDER 48.5 POINTS

RATING: Beer & Pizza

  • Both of these teams are very slow paced and love to run the ball so this should be a quick game with a lower than average number of possessions.  
  • These 2 rank 123rd and 129th (out of 138 teams) in seconds per play and 121st and 124th in actual pace which filters out garbage time possessions.  
  • Army runs the ball as much as anyone (51 carries per game – 2nd in the country) with a rush rate that is 2nd in the nation.  Temple averages 41 carries per game with a top 10 rush rate.  Very few passes will be in the air in this game which limits clock stoppage for incompletions.  
  • Both are coming off higher scoring games with Temple falling @ Toledo 49-48 in OT and Army getting topped by South Florida 28-24 (2 weeks ago).  Because of those results, we’re getting some value here with the total at 48.5.  
  • Last year’s total was 45.5 and the last 4 meetings between these teams had totals set at 46.5 or lower.  
  • Last year’s game ended with Army winning 14-13 and neither team topped 270 total yards.  In that game there were only 112 offensive snaps and just 28 pass attempts.  
  • Look for similar yardage and snap count numbers here and the early forecast in Philadelphia calls for gusty winds which would limit passing even more.  
  • 48 points is the 2nd most common “landed on” total and we’re sitting a half point to a point above that as of this writing.  Take the Under on Friday afternoon.