Free Pick | MLB | Tuesday | Aug. 5

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#966 Texas Rangers (Eovaldi) -120 over New York Yankees (Warren) 7:05 PM CT

Nathan Eovaldi may be worth a look as a Cy Young longshot with a 1.49 ERA in 18 starts this season. Eovaldi has allowed one or no runs in 12 of his last 13 starts since late April, albeit with about a month missed on the IL for most of June. Since returning Eovaldi is 5-0 with a 1.34 ERA. Texas is charging back into the playoff picture with an 18-11 record since July 1 and a walk-off win last night to start this big series should keep the momentum with the Rangers. New York used six pitchers yesterday including all the top bullpen options, but the Yankees couldn’t hold on, allowing a tying run in the ninth and losing in the 10th. New York is now 26-31 in road games and owns a four-game slide to start this road trip. New York is now the third place team in the AL East while the wild card position for the Yankees is tenuous with Texas and others close behind. Will Warren has a 10.4 K/9 this season but that K-rate comes with a high walk rate and Warren has a 4.64 ERA this season. Warren has an extreme contrast in his home and road splits with a 7.20 ERA on the road and opponents batting .295 against him. Warren had nice results in the month of June, but he has been less reliable in his recent starts with only one quality start in his last seven tries. New York addressed the bullpen at the trade deadline, but it hasn’t paid off so far and New York has seen its bullpen splits get worse in the past 10 games compared to the marginal season numbers for the unit. Texas is 35-20 at home this season for one of the best home records in MLB and that includes an 11-1 run in Arlington since July 1. New York has fared well vs. right-handers but Texas has been even better with a 49-37 record vs. right-handed starters. Aaron Judge is expected to return tonight for New York and he may provide the boost New York needs, but Eovaldi is a tough draw to return to.