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Free NCAA Pick Thursday

#616 Connecticut +9.5 over Houston 6:00 PM CT

Houston owns a glowing 23-1 record and is in control of the AAC thanks to the 65-58 home win over Cincinnati on Sunday. That was a misleading final score as Cincinnati led at several points in the second half before ending the game with an over six-minute scoring drought while the Cougars caught several breaks with close calls including two questionable out-of-bounds calls where the near official was overruled. That was the biggest game of the AAC season and this could be a flat spot with Houston surviving several close calls on the road this season.

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Connecticut is a shell of its past stature as a basketball power but the Huskies have won four straight home dates and own an early season win over Syracuse. Despite the marginal record Connecticut rates as an above average offensive team and should be able to keep pace with the Cougars in this matchup. A big area of opportunity is rebounding with the Huskies potentially towering over a small Houston team in many lineup possibilities. Coming off back-to-back losses this is a great opportunity for Connecticut as a heavy home underdog.

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Bobby Dalton is 11-3 the past 8 days in basketball after a 3-0 Wednesday. A rare 15* Best Bet is posted for Thursday’s schedule – $34.99 pay after you win!

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#724 Northern Kentucky -9.5 over Oakland 6:00 PM CT

Northern Kentucky has a one-game lead over Wright State in the Horizon standings with Oakland two games back. This is a critical home game for the Norse after losing by two at Oakland in early January and knowing they head to Dayton next Friday. Northern Kentucky is 6-0 at home in Horizon play and 14-0 at home on the season. The average margin of victory for the Norse has been 17 points at home in league play while Oakland is drawing a second straight road game after a double-digit loss at Wright State on Thursday night.

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Oakland actually led that game early before getting outscored by 20 points in the second half and a highly vulnerable Grizzlies defense will face the top Horizon offense in this contest. Northern Kentucky also features the top 3-point shooting numbers on both offense and defense in Horizon play and Oakland has been turnover prone this season. After losing the past two meetings in this series including losing in Highland Heights last season in this matchup this is a huge game on the schedule for the host. Seven Northern Kentucky conference wins have come by 15 or more points and the Norse are capable of pouring it on against one of the worst defensive teams in the nation.

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Free NCAA Pick Friday

#863 Georgia State +1 over Louisiana-Lafayette 8:00 PM CT

Louisiana has dropped three in a row with an eye-popping 303 points allowed as this has been one of the nation’s worst defensive teams, unable to hold up to balance the up-tempo offense for the Ragin’ Cajuns. Louisiana lost by 13 on the road in this matchup and Georgia State is one of three teams currently tied for the Sun Belt lead. Facing Louisiana should provide a boost for the Georgia State offense with D’Marcus Simonds the top player in the league and the Panthers rated as one of the top defensive teams in the conference.

Coming off a shocking loss Wednesday at Louisiana-Monroe should leave a motivated squad for this road test with the Panthers posting seven road or neutral site wins this season. Georgia State has defeated Georgia and Alabama away from home this season while winning at UT Arlington and at Texas State for quality road wins in league play.

The key in this game will be 3-point shooting between a pair of teams that take a lot of long range shots. Georgia State has featured the best Sun Belt defense beyond the arc allowing below 29 percent while in contrast Louisiana has allowed nearly 41 percent from 3-point range. A Georgia State squad that gets over 45 percent of its points from the 3-point line and is hitting over 39 percent on 3-point shots could have a huge day in a high possession game with the Ragin’ Cajuns.

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Free NCAA Pick Tuesday

#636 Kansas State -3 over Kansas 8:00 PM CT

Kansas picked up a dominant home win over Texas Tech on Saturday to break a 2-game slide but the Jayhawks have lost five of six road games this season with only a narrow win at Baylor in early January. This is always a huge game for Kansas State and this year’s Wildcats team has what it takes to break an eight-game slide in this series including losing all three meetings last season. Kansas State battled injuries and offensive inconsistency early in the season but has turned a corner for a 6-0 Big XII run to sit ahead of its rival in the current standings.

Kansas State has only one home loss all season while besting TCU and Texas Tech by double-digits in the past two home games, holding those teams to just 100 points combined. Kansas State has significant defensive edges in this matchup and should negate the ability to score inside for the Jayhawks. Kansas has also been the Big XII worst free throw shooting team which should be a negative factor for the road team in a potentially close game.

This year’s Kansas team has battled turnovers and Kansas State is one of top teams nationally at creating turnovers on defense and the Wildcats are underrated having played part of the season without star Center Dean Wade. Kansas might still also be without starter Marcus Garrett who missed the last game after already losing Udoka Azubuike earlier this season as this isn’t the team Bill Self expected to have coming back after last season’s Final Four run. The line swinging four points from its release pushes this selection down to a Free Pick level however.

Nelly’s Basketball is 56-28 since Dec. 6, winning two thirds of our selections over the past two months. We had a dominant win from a NBA underdog last night to reach a 21-9 on current NBA run along with a 29-15 college run. We had a huge 31-13 February in 2018 and are ready for another big month – join us for all remaining February picks for $229!

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Free NBA Pick Wednesday

#553 Chicago Bulls +10.5 over Miami Heat 6:35 PM CT

The Heat are well rested and coming off back-to-back wins but those wins came by single-digits vs. arguably the two worst teams in the NBA. Miami is back at home after playing six of the past seven games on the road and this is a team with a stunning 11-13 S/U record at home. Miami would make the playoffs today at 24-24 but this squad is barely positive in average scoring differential and over the past 12 games Miami has just two wins by double-digit margins. One of those wins came in Chicago with a 14-point result but that game came following back-to-back losses for a desperate spot for the team and it was also likely Dwyane Wade’s last trip to Chicago.

This turnaround spot back at home won’t provide the same motivation especially with Oklahoma City visiting South Beach on Friday. Chicago has only 11 wins on the season but the Bulls have more road wins than home wins and Chicago has quietly played competitive ball in the past week with a 1-4 run that has featured only one loss by more than five points. Chicago has covered in four of the past six meetings between these teams including the past two road visits to Miami and the Heat are 4-7 ATS hosting losing teams this season.

Miami has only been this big of a favorite once this season and Miami is a losing ATS team overall at home while the Bulls are a .500 ATS road squad often catching big prices. Chicago played tough in Brooklyn last night and playing in a third game in four days increases this spread even further. Chicago has allowed only 108 points per game over the past five games for improved defense while in contrast the Heat are allowing 46 percent shooting in that span, well above the team’s season pace. The recent loss of Derrick Jones is an underrated loss for the Heat and Miami simply shouldn’t be trusted at this price.

Nelly’s Basketball is on a 51-23 run since December 6 including riding a current 20-8 run in the NBA plus a 25-11 run in college basketball (through Jan. 29). We have hit 100% on Top Plays and have gone 17-3-1 in our Saturday 2/3 offers the past seven weeks. Get a rare 2/3 offer Wednesday night in college basketball with a 2* Top Play for $35 or get tonight’s 2* pick guaranteed to win for $25. For the best value join us for all picks through February 28 for $229 – our basketball service went 31-13 in February 2018 and we have won in 11 of the past 14 months of February!

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#685 Rutgers +7 over Penn State 3:30 PM CT

With wins over Ohio State and Nebraska, Rutgers has made some noise in the Big Ten and at 9-9 overall this season the Knights are a threat to finish strong with a few more upsets along the way. Rutgers has lost five road games in a row but did win at Miami earlier in the season and should play better off a big win than they did in the 18-point loss at Minnesota that followed the win over the Buckeyes.

State is a better team than the 0-8 Big Ten record represents with numerous
close losses. A breakout performance could be expected by laying a big number
with the Lions carries great risk. Penn State has struggled offensively all
season and rates as the least efficient offensive team in the Big Ten. In conference
play Penn State has shot 27 percent from 3-point range, 47 percent from 2-point
range, and 60 percent from the line.  

Nelly’s Basketball is on a 48-20 run since Dec. 6 and we have won six straight Saturday 2/3 offers with those picks a combined 16-2! Get Saturday’s 2/3 Guarantee today for just $25!

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Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#790 Vanderbilt -3.5 over South Carolina 6:00 PM CT

Bryce Drew’s Vanderbilt squad has slipped to 0-3 in SEC play after a promising 9-3 non-conference start that included wins over USC, Liberty, and Arizona State for three top 100 wins. Only two losses have come at home this season and both were close games while the two losses in the last week came on the road, including a nine-point loss at Kentucky last weekend. These teams met just once last season with the Gamecocks winning 71-60 in Columbia just over a year ago while Drew’s squad won by nine in the only home meeting he had in this series since taking over the program two years ago.

Frank Martin’s squad is surprisingly 3-0 in SEC play after a 5-7 non-conference start. Known for defense, the Gamecocks have pushed the pace of play this season but not with better results as this has been a high turnover team that shoots poorly from long range. The 3-0 start has featured some good fortune in SEC play with a two-point win at Florida despite committing 22 turnovers, plus an overtime home win over Mississippi State. On Sunday South Carolina beat Missouri by 10 but that was a challenging situation for the Tigers as that game originally was scheduled for Saturday but moved to Sunday as Missouri dealt with a major winter storm and travel issues.

South Carolina is just 1-2 in true road games including losing at Wyoming this season and the Gamecocks also have a home loss to Stony Brook for two puzzling defeats. The past three wins are the only top 100 wins of the season for South Carolina and this is an absolutely critical spot on the schedule for the Commodores as a loss here could easily mean a potential 0-7 start to SEC play playing Mississippi State, Tennessee, and Kentucky in the next three conference games. Vanderbilt is young but possesses great size and has battled a tougher SEC schedule to this point to create the contrasting records. Vanderbilt has featured great 3-point defense numbers and efficient interior scoring while far less prone to turnovers as home court should hold Wednesday night.

Nelly’s Basketball is on a 41-13 run since December 6 for huge returns in basketball! We are expecting a 2* Top Play for Wednesday night – $25 pay after you win!

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#642 Oklahoma -3 over TCU 1:00 PM CT

Sooners are 12-3 through a schedule that ranks as the second toughest in the
nation. Oklahoma is a in a key spot on the schedule at home with a 1-2 start in
conference play but the losses both came on the road in competitive games vs.
the top two rated teams in the conference. Oklahoma’s strong record has come with
just five home games, with a 4-0 mark beating five teams all rated in the
nation’s top 115 and those wins have all come by nine or more points. TCU lost
by nine at Kansas on Wednesday and that is the only top 50 team the Horned Frogs
have faced this season. It is also the only time this season that TCU has
played a true road game outside of the Dallas/Fort Worth area. This will be a
daunting spot on the schedule for a team playing without some of its top
players and a team featuring zero top 50 wins on the season. TCU went just 3-6
in Big XII road games last season and lost both meetings with Oklahoma even in
a down year for Lon Kruger’s squad. Jamie Dixon’s squad has struggled with free
throws and could be exposed in a second straight road game vs. an underrated
Oklahoma team that has eight top 100 wins on the season.

Basketball is on a 37-12 run since December 6 including a 19-4 current NBA run
and a 12-3 current NCAA run. Get our 2/3 offer for Saturday with an 11-1 record
in winning our Saturday 2/3 the past four weeks.

Dalton has won four of his last five college basketball Best Bets and he has a
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Big E
has his next 20* Conference Game of the Year lined up today, a big one in the
ACC for $20.94.

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Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#796 Rutgers +5.5 over Ohio State 6:00 PM CT

starting 0-3 Rutgers has faced a brutally tough Big Ten schedule losing to
Michigan State, Wisconsin, and Maryland. Those games were all mostly
competitive with the 14-point loss Saturday to the Terrapins the largest margin
of defeat for the 7-6 Scarlet Knights since mid-November. Rutgers has a win at
Miami and has quality defensive numbers through a difficult overall schedule.
Ohio State is 12-2 but they have lost by 10 and 9 in the two toughest games
they have faced all season and both of those games were in Columbus. Road wins
in Cincinnati and Creighton are impressive results but those games came in the
first two weeks of the season and Ohio State has not played a true road game in
nearly two months. Eight of the 12 wins on the season have come outside the
nation’s top 100 and this will be the first Big Ten true road game of the
season for the Buckeyes. Rebounding looks like an area where Rutgers will have
an edge and following up the hyped Michigan State game could be a challenge for
Ohio State now as a substantial road favorite.

Basketball is 34-10 since December 6, riding a current 18-3 NBA run and a current
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Free NCAA Pick Sunday

#810 Michigan -8.5 over Indiana 3:30 PM CT

14-0 Michigan hasn’t played a great strength of schedule but they are hard to doubt at home in a marquee test vs. Indiana, the first meeting in more than a year between these programs with Michigan’s 69-55 home win last season in this series coming in early December. Michigan has double-digit home wins over North Carolina and Purdue squads that soundly out-rank Indiana and while Archie Miller’s squad is 12-2 there have been numerous close calls. The Hoosiers lost by 21 at Duke and the only road win this season came by two points at Penn State. The 3-0 Big Ten start has featured three of the bottom teams in the conference with three wins by a combined 12 points while big non-conference wins over Louisville and Butler came by a combined total of four points as this team could easily be much closer to .500. Indiana has struggled with turnovers, rebounding, and free throws and Michigan has one of the lowest turnover rates in the nation. The Wolverines have provided fantastic 3-point defense while also hitting nearly 38 percent beyond the arc on offense. Michigan is second nationally in defensive efficiency and after a flat start vs. Penn State Thursday Michigan still won by 13. This is a game that will have Michigan’s full attention and a strong performance looks likely.

Nelly’s is on a 32-9 run in basketball since Dec. 6 riding current runs of 17-3 in the NBA and 9-1 in NCAA picks. Don’t miss Sunday’s pick.

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Maximum also has a championship pick for Monday looking to build on a huge college football season!