Posted on

Free NBA Pick Wednesday

#553 Chicago Bulls +10.5 over Miami Heat 6:35 PM CT

The Heat are well rested and coming off back-to-back wins but those wins came by single-digits vs. arguably the two worst teams in the NBA. Miami is back at home after playing six of the past seven games on the road and this is a team with a stunning 11-13 S/U record at home. Miami would make the playoffs today at 24-24 but this squad is barely positive in average scoring differential and over the past 12 games Miami has just two wins by double-digit margins. One of those wins came in Chicago with a 14-point result but that game came following back-to-back losses for a desperate spot for the team and it was also likely Dwyane Wade’s last trip to Chicago.

This turnaround spot back at home won’t provide the same motivation especially with Oklahoma City visiting South Beach on Friday. Chicago has only 11 wins on the season but the Bulls have more road wins than home wins and Chicago has quietly played competitive ball in the past week with a 1-4 run that has featured only one loss by more than five points. Chicago has covered in four of the past six meetings between these teams including the past two road visits to Miami and the Heat are 4-7 ATS hosting losing teams this season.

Miami has only been this big of a favorite once this season and Miami is a losing ATS team overall at home while the Bulls are a .500 ATS road squad often catching big prices. Chicago played tough in Brooklyn last night and playing in a third game in four days increases this spread even further. Chicago has allowed only 108 points per game over the past five games for improved defense while in contrast the Heat are allowing 46 percent shooting in that span, well above the team’s season pace. The recent loss of Derrick Jones is an underrated loss for the Heat and Miami simply shouldn’t be trusted at this price.

Nelly’s Basketball is on a 51-23 run since December 6 including riding a current 20-8 run in the NBA plus a 25-11 run in college basketball (through Jan. 29). We have hit 100% on Top Plays and have gone 17-3-1 in our Saturday 2/3 offers the past seven weeks. Get a rare 2/3 offer Wednesday night in college basketball with a 2* Top Play for $35 or get tonight’s 2* pick guaranteed to win for $25. For the best value join us for all picks through February 28 for $229 – our basketball service went 31-13 in February 2018 and we have won in 11 of the past 14 months of February!

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Saturday

#547 San Antonio Spurs +3.5 over Los Angeles Clippers 9:35 PM CT

The Clippers moved to 21-14 late last night with a ‘road’ win over the rival Lakers, and despite the 11-point final margin it was a tight game most of the way. A Clippers team that has been short-handed most of the month got a big game from Lou Williams who recently returned from injury while Marcin Gortat also played a few minutes as the team is getting its roster back to full strength. This could be a challenging turnaround given the magnitude of last night’s game however.

The Spurs and Clippers have split a pair of meetings this season with the host winning both games though the Spurs are +33 in scoring in those games. Despite the lesser record the Spurs have the stronger average scoring differential and San Antonio has more quality wins. San Antonio played last night in Denver and had a hard-fought three-point loss vs. the Western Conference leaders, after beating Denver in San Antonio on Wednesday. San Antonio is on an 8-3 run with all three losses in that span coming very narrowly and the Spurs are undervalued as a team that is climbing its way back to Western Conference relevance. With both teams playing in second-straight games after big games last night, the points are appealing.

Nelly’s is on an outrageous 14-1 NBA run while 22-6 in basketball picks since Dec. 6. We have won our Saturday Basketball 2/3 Offer in back-to-back weeks going 6-0 on those picks. Get a NBA pick and two college picks for Saturday for $25 in today’s 2/3 offer.


Also check out bowl and NFL picks on the site this weekend with several big plays from Nelly’s and the featured handicappers.

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Friday

#719 Dallas Mavericks +4 over Los Angeles Lakers 9:35 PM CT

The Lakers and Mavericks are next to each other in the Western Conference standings, currently the final two teams that would be in the playoff field. With a narrow win last night the Lakers are barely posting a positive average scoring differential on the season while the Mavericks are +2.5 on average. Dallas is just 2-7 on the road but this opportunity should be alluring in favorable scheduling spot.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

The Lakers are actually 3-0 playing on back-to-back nights this season but this will be a third game in four days and a fourth game in six days. The Lakers out-shot Indiana by more than 11 percent last night but had to survive a tight finish while currently Los Angeles mostly employs just an eight-man rotation. LeBron James was on the court 38 minutes last night and the Lakers are just 5-7 ATS at home this season.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Dallas won in Houston on Wednesday as while the Mavericks are 2-7 on the road they are 2-1 in the past three road games. They lost by one point in Los Angeles on Halloween night and the Lakers will have a very hard time matching the numbers from that contest, shooting 59 percent from 3-point range. Dallas currently rates as the stronger team in offensive and defensive efficiency this season with a massive edge on offense and Dallas has played its best vs. the best, going 3-1 vs. the league’s top 10, a distinction the Lakers aren’t quite holding however.

Bobby Dalton has a Pac-12 Championship side & total package Friday night with a 10* Best Bet – he is also expecting a 15* Best Bet total for Saturday’s championship slate.

Maximum Sports is 60-41 in college football this season including winning a big 10* with Ohio State last weekend. Maximum has hit 60% in his 7* Game of the Week picks on the season and he guarantees to win a title game play Saturday for only $19!

Nelly’s has a 2/3 college football featuring Friday’s MAC Championship plus our NFL 2/3 offer Sunday, having gone 7-2 the past three weeks in NFL action!

Point Train has a 5Unit Top Play for college championship action Saturday plus a 9Unit NFL Over/Under Game of the Year is expected Sunday. On the season Point Train is +81.1 units!

Big E has 10* Biggies Friday, Saturday, and Sunday for just $9.94 each!

Showing the single result

Sort By
Show per page

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Wednesday

 

#509 Denver Nuggets -3 over Memphis Grizzlies 7:00 PM CT

The 9-1 Nuggets are in potentially dangerous spot following up a huge win over Boston with a trip to Memphis. The Grizzlies are 3-0 at home but the wins came against the Hawks, Suns, and Wizards, teams that are a combined 7-23 this season. Memphis is also coming off a three-game road trip out west including facing the Warriors on Monday night. This home stand features three tough games that could expose the Grizzlies for a competitive start with only two surprising wins in Utah as quality results so far this season. Denver was off yesterday following big wins over Utah and Boston and the road results have been good with a 3-1 start away from home, only losing in Los Angeles. Denver plays 10 routinely with good depth to handle the up-tempo pace and the Nuggets have taken care of business with mostly convincing wins vs. the lesser teams on the schedule.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Bobby Dalton has had a hot start in the NBA – don’t miss tonight’s pick while Big E is also ready to start his college basketball season!

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Tuesday

#702 Detroit Pistons -1 over Philadelphia 76ers 6:05 PM CT

The 76ers were blown out in the opener in Boston and came home with wins over two of the likely worst teams in the Eastern Conference beating Chicago, and then winning by just a single point against Orlando. Philadelphia has promise after last season’s breakthrough but could be at risk tonight in Detroit for the second road game of the season with a much more prominent game in Milwaukee tomorrow.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Detroit has also feasted on the bottom of the Eastern Conference but at 2-0 the Pistons have found ways to win both games in tight finishes. Dwane Casey is a proven regular season coach this roster has enough to work with to be a playoff threat in the Eastern Conference with Andre Drummond, Blake Griffin, and Reggie Jackson.


The 76ers were a losing ATS team on the road last season and the Pistons have an underrated home court edge going 26-16 S/U at home last season, even counting a pair of April losses with the team out of contention. Ben Simmons isn’t likely to play tonight as this won’t be a complete 76ers squad.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Nelly’s hit 63% in the NBA regular season last year – we expect to start our regular season in early November!

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Friday

#703 New York Knicks +4 over Brooklyn Nets 6:30 PM CT

Beating the Hawks at home isn’t likely to be a great performance by season’s end but the Knicks dominated with a 23-point halftime lead before coasting to a 126-107 win on Wednesday. The Knicks pushed the pace and feature a formidable backcourt with multiple scoring options and the three starting guards combined for only three turnovers in a combined 84 minutes on the court. Kevin Knox had a productive debut even with a lot of missed shots but the overlooked frontcourt of Noah Vonleh, Enes Kanter, and Lance Thomas was very efficient.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

This is the home opener for the Nets after a 103-100 loss at Detroit Wednesday. The Nets won the final preseason game between these teams but Brooklyn had very poor outside shooting in Detroit to lose despite shooting 49 percent overall. The frontcourt struggled mightily defensively and the Nets had 19 turnovers while also missing seven free throws. This is a big series for the Knicks who won and covered in all four meetings last season and have gone 14-7 ATS in the past 21 meetings going back to 2012.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Basketball service plays will start in early November – check out football & MLB offers from Nelly’s and the featured handicappers for this weekend’s action! Point Train went 7-0 last weekend and hit Thursday night to start the week – don’t miss his 8-unit play Saturday! Maximum is on a red hot run with profits in 5 of the last 6 college weeks and five straight NFL weeks – get his 7* Game of the Week!

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Sunday

#505/506 ‘OVER 217’ Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards 5:05 PM CT

All three games in this series have flown ‘over’ the total and the oddsmakers can’t make a major adjustment on the number, though this total is a few points higher than Game 1 and 2 in Toronto. These teams have averaged more than 231 points per game so far in this series and while both teams have shot 50 percent through 12 quarter the numbers haven’t been outrageous outliers.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Washington’s defense deteriorated down the stretch and now in nine April games the Wizards have allowed triple-digits in every single game. Toronto’s very weak schedule is showing up a bit in the postseason as despite the 2-1 edge the Raptors haven’t been dominant in this series as the top seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Raptors have a severe disparity in the home and road numbers this season with the defense allowing over 46 percent shooting on the road and nearly 107 points per game on the road. Washington’s defensive numbers don’t improve dramatically at home and in a chippy series in a critical Game 4 there could be extra free throws and this total should once again get ‘over’.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Get daytime NBA & MLB offers from Nelly’s and Bobby Dalton today!

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Wednesday

#522 Houston Rockets -10 over Minnesota Timberwolves 8:30 PM CT

Game 1 in the Houston/Minnesota series featured an unsurprising Houston win but also a deceptively close final result with Minnesota getting a shot to tie the game in the final seconds in an eventual 3-point loss. The Wolves have a formidable roster that underachieved to some extent despite 47 wins and a playoff breakthrough. Much of the late season action was played without Jimmy Butler but the Wolves will have a hard time keeping pace with the top seeded Rockets.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Houston didn’t play particularly well in Game 1 falling behind in the second half before a big run from James Harden. The Rockets missed 27 3-point shots for just a 27 percent performance from a team that shot 36 percent and made more than 15 3-point shots per game on the season. Houston is 35-7 at the Toyota Center and Houston is 5-0 vs. Minnesota this season with wins by 18, 18, 18, and 9 in the regular season with all of those games coming since late January. Houston has won 11 consecutive home meetings in this series with the last Minnesota win in Houston coming in 2012.

Similar to the Milwaukee/Boston series which produced a convincing Celtics win last night the Wolves played as well as they could have in Game 1, and still lost. Minnesota had a big free throw edge and a 3-point shooting edge, two factors that are very unlikely to repeat in Game 2. The Wolves were also +10 in rebounds in Game 1 while keeping the turnover count in check. The Wolves got 31 points off the bench from Derrick Rose and Jamal Crawford and there is far more room for Houston to play better in the second game of this series than there is for Minnesota, a team that is 17-24 S/U in road games on the season going 8-12 ATS vs. winning teams on the road and 1-6 ATS when dogged by 7 or more points.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Nelly’s is 6-2 to start our MLB season and we have produced a 43-26 NBA record this season, so far splitting in playoff picks. Don’t miss guaranteed offers Wednesday night.

Bobby Dalton has turned in huge returns in basketball in recent weeks, +133* since March 1 and 3-1 in the NBA playoffs so far. Dalton is also 15-8 in MLB picks for a great start to the season.

 

 

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Sunday

#516 Houston Rockets -11 over Minnesota Timberwolves 7:05 PM CT

A Timberwolves team looking to snap a long playoff drought needed overtime Wednesday night to finally secure a postseason spot, outlasting the Nuggets for the final spot in the Western Conference field. Andrew Wiggins and Karl-Anthony Towns are still extremely young and while much of the late season slide came without Jimmy Butler this is a team that could be overwhelmed opening the playoffs on the road against the league’s top team.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Houston finished 34-7 at home this season while outscoring foes by nearly 10 points per game and that includes a few setbacks with key players out or in meaningless late season situations. Minnesota was just 17-24 on the road this season and a Timberwolves team that has allowed 109 points per game on the road this season presents a favorable matchup for the high scoring up-tempo Rockets. With past playoff failures still fresh in mind for Houston as well as Chris Paul this will be a focused team in Game 1.

Minnesota might be one of the best #8 seeds ever in the playoff field with 47 wins and several All Star caliber players but the Wolves haven’t held up on the road against quality teams this season going 7-12 ATS on the road vs. winning teams. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS when dogged by seven or more points this season and we saw in three of four Game 1 matchups yesterday home court can mean a lot in the opening game of the playoffs.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Bobby Dalton won a 10* to start the playoffs yesterday – don’t miss his next selection Sunday for only $12. Nelly’s has turned in a huge basketball season and we look to match last season’s 60% playoff performance – get Sunday’s pick for $15.

Bobby Dalton is 14-5 in baseball and Nelly’s is 3-1 in baseball for hot April starts!

Posted on

Free NBA Pick Tuesday

#504 Atlanta Hawks +9.5 over Philadelphia 76ers 6:35 PM CT

Atlanta hasn’t looked like one of the worst teams in the NBA of late with back-to-back road wins over Eastern Conference playoff teams. Only once in the last six games have the Hawks lost by more than 10 points and with red hot Philadelphia in town this season finale should provide some incentive for the Hawks to finish strong.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

This is an important game for Philadelphia looking to hold on to the #3 spot in the Eastern Conference riding 14 consecutive wins. Tomorrow’s game looms larger however hosting Milwaukee for a home finale in game that will carry great stakes for the Bucks as well.

Philadelphia is just 9-9 ATS the past 18 games as a road favorite and they are 2-4 ATS this season as a road favorite of 6 or more points. The Hawks brass won’t want to win this game but the players should give a good effort and both meetings were decided by 10 points this season, right near this number.

Showing all 12 results

Sort By
Show per page

Bobby Dalton is on a 28-14 all sport run – don’t miss a NBA 10* tonight or his next MLB pick (8-3 this season). Nelly’s is hitting nearly 64% in NBA picks this season, get Tuesday’s side play or join for the playoffs!