Free Pick | NCAA | Friday | Feb. 6

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#881 Evansville +10.5 over Valparaiso 7:00 PM CT

In a 5-7 start to MVC play, Valparaiso has zero wins by more than 10 points, which is the task at hand to cover tonight hosting Evansville. Valparaiso is 4-2 S/U at home, but this is one of the worst shooting teams in the MVC, including a 2-point field goal percentage of below 46 percent. Evansville is 1-11 in MVC play and there have been several lopsided losses along the way for the Aces. Evansville has shot better than Valparaiso in conference play however, with a nearly two percent edge in effective field goal rate. Evansville has excellent size by MVC standards as the Beacons aren’t likely to improve on the poor interior scoring results tonight. Evansville has won four in a row S/U in this series including back-to-back road wins and this will be the largest favorite spread in this series in either direction in quite some time. A 16-6 ATS record for Valparaiso has pushed this price to an uncomfortable level and while the Aces have struggled defensively, this pairing must be viewed as a preferable opportunity to break the current slide.