Free Pick | MLB | Tuesday | Aug. 18

Nelly’s is on a 10-4 MLB run as another strong August is underway with back-to-back winning weeks!

Nelly’s has a profit of over 95* in August baseball the past three years.

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#967/968 OVER 8 San Francisco Giants (Whisenhunt) at Cleveland Guardians (Griffin) 5:40 PM CT

Cleveland pitching has allowed at least five runs six times in the past 10 games in contrast to the team’s reputation for solid results on the mound. The Guardians have a 5.66 ERA with a 1.66 WHIP from the bullpen in the past 10 games and acquisition Foster Griffin has allowed eight runs and 11 hits in nine innings in his two starts since coming over from Washington at the trade deadline. For the Giants Carson Whisenhunt hasn’t offered much promise in just over 51 MLB innings the past two seasons, sporting a career 5.61 ERA and a 6.11 ERA this season. His 5.8 BB/9 is alarming, particularly lineup against a Cleveland lineup with one of the higher walk rates in MLB. Cleveland has some recent success vs. left-handed pitching with 4.7 runs per nine of the past five games and the Guardians have 20 wins this season vs. left-handed starters for the second most in the American League. Cleveland home games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season and Cleveland pitching has allowed five or more runs six of eight home games so far in August. This lefty-lefty pairing is priced appropriately but both starters could be at risk of getting into some early trouble in this pairing.