Free Pick | MLB | Weds. | Sep. 2

Nelly’s is 9-3 in our last 12 MLB picks while posting four winning weeks in a row!

#905 Philadelphia Phillies (Painter) -115 over Arizona Diamondbacks (Clarke) 2:40 PM CT

Rookie Andrew Painter is 3-8 with a 5.95 ERA but he has been pitched well lately with a 3.78 ERA in his last six starts and a boost to his strikeout rate. In the past 10 games Philadelphia has posted 4.9 runs per nine vs. right-handed pitching to beat the 3.6 runs average for the Diamondbacks. Philadelphia also has a 2.28 bullpen ERA with a 0.94 WHIP in that span for far superior results than Arizona can offer. This is a key game in the NL wild card picture yet Taylor Clarke will start for the first time all season. This will just be an opening situation, but Clarke has just a 5.3 K/9 this season with a FIP well above his strong ERA. Arizona used six pitchers yesterday as the bullpen isn’t in ideal form to handle a bullpen game. Arizona will look to avoid a sweep, but the Diamondbacks have been held to two or fewer runs six times in the past nine games. Philadelphia is on a six-game winning streak on this road trip with brilliant pitching, allowing a total of nine runs in the past six games combined. Painter is pitching above his season numbers right now and the Phillies continue to play with playoff chase urgency as the road sweep in Phoenix this afternoon looks very possible.