Free Pick | NCAA | Saturday | Nov. 8

Another huge college football Saturday is set!

Nelly’s is having an amazing college football season – our record is 22-9 since August 30 for nearly 71%

This season over 10 college football Saturdays, we’ve gone 2-1 or better NINE times!

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#131 Georgia State +7.5 over Coastal Carolina 3:00 PM CT

Georgia State is just 1-7 this season and the only win was against an FCS team. It has been an incredibly difficult schedule however, facing two SEC teams on the road plus AAC contender Memphis in non-conference play. In Sun Belt play two of four losses have been one-score finals including a 14-7 loss to SBC favorite James Madison. Dell McGree is now 5-16 at Georgia State with only one Sun Belt win but this team shouldn’t be ruled out for an upset in the final month. The Panthers last played on October 23 for a long layoff while Coastal Carolina is coming off a big win beating last season’s conference champion Marshall in a prime time home game. The Chanticleers were outgained despite a 44-27 win thanks to five Marshall turnovers. Coastal Carolina is 4-1 in SBC play, but they are only +18 in net scoring in league play and have produced a yardage edge in only one of five conference games. Coastal Carolina won 48-27 last season at Georgia State but that was the season finale as the Chanticleers had a lot to play for reaching 6-6 with that win. Georgia State had six turnovers in that game to hide good production. Coastal Carolina is just 5-6 ATS at home the past two seasons and 0-2 ATS in the past two games as a home favorite. While many of the wins were under Shawn Elliott, Georgia State is a 60 percent ATS road team since 2020. These programs have alternated wins and losses in the past eight meetings since 2017 and the gap between these teams doesn’t look nearly as large as the standings suggest. Coastal Carolina is 111th nationally in per carry run defense this season and while Georgia State ranks worse for the season thanks to the brutal non-conference path, in the past three games the Panthers have allowed just 4.2 yards per rush.