Free Pick | Sunday | NFL | Dec. 11

Nelly’s is 23-8 the past 10 years in NFL week 14 – check out our 4-game offer today! We went 2-0 in college basketball yesterday as well – look for today’s selection in hoops:

Free Pick Sunday: #108 Buffalo Bills -9.5 over New York Jets 12:00 PM CT

The Jets won the first meeting between these teams in a true arrival moment for the team that drew some suspicion with its collection of early season wins. New York is just 2-3 in the past five games but last week dominated the box score despite a loss at Minnesota, scoring a touchdown on just one of six red zone trips. Buffalo handled the Patriots Thursday night in Week 13 and with the Chiefs losing last week, the Bills are back on top of the AFC. The first game was very even statistically, and this line has been adjusted to a lower number in Buffalo than in New Jersey as this is a favorable home price on the Bills, the consensus top team in the NFL to start the season now lurking as a sleeping giant with uneven results and injuries in the past two months. New York’s offense has been dramatically improved under Mike White, but he goes from facing two of the worst defenses in the NFL to facing one of the best and he has proven to be a turnover risk in his career. Chicago and Minnesota are #31 and #32 in pass yards per attempt allowed this season while Buffalo is #8 as White and the Jets are going to have a much more difficult time in this pairing even after encouraging results for the offense the past two weeks.  This is a revenge spot for Buffalo and while the price has climbed for the popular Bills, the Jets might struggle in possible wet conditions, and this is not a situation where the Bills are likely to let off the gas at all in this contest.