Free Pick | NBA | Nov. 16

#557 Oklahoma City Thunder +5 over Washington Wizards 6:10 PM CT

Oklahoma City is 6-8 and competing well with even net scoring through a top five schedule that has included six games vs. the league’s top 10. The Thunder are coming off a Monday loss in Boston by just four points and lost in OT in Milwaukee last week surrounding wins over Toronto and New York by double-digits. Washington has impressed with a solid 8-6 start and are 3-0 on the current home stand, getting narrow wins over Dallas, Utah, and Memphis for an impressive run. Washington has led on defense while Oklahoma City is a solid offensive team in the overall scoring and shooting numbers. The efficiency numbers tell a different story however as these teams rank closely defensively while Washington offense is the clear worst performing unit in this matchup. Washington is just 1-2 ATS as a favorite of three or more this season while the Thunder are 8-3 ATS as an underdog of three or more points this season. Washington’s average scoring differential is -1.3 and the Wizards have three S/U home losses this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has ascended to superstardom in the early going this season averaging over 31 points per game and the Thunder should remain an appealing underdog threat.

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