Free Pick | NBA | Sunday | Jan. 25

Nelly’s hit 2/3 yesterday in basketball and we are on a 13-4 football run!

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#509 Toronto Raptors +11.5 over Oklahoma City Thunder 6:10 PM CT

The Thunder continues to pace the Western Conference but Friday’s stunning loss to Indiana puts Oklahoma City at 23-23 ATS this season and just 4-7 ATS since the start of January. Oklahoma City is 5-3 ATS off a loss this season but they have lost S/U in back-to-back games twice this season despite only nine losses. The Thunder are also 3-4 S/U and 1-6 ATS in the past seven games as a favorite of 10 or more points as this team doesn’t seem to have the same day-to-day intensity and drive that last year’s championship team had, at least so far during the grind of the 2025-26 regular season. Many dismissed the hot start for Toronto but since the team slipped in December, the Raptors are 10-5 S/U and ATS since December 28 including going 5-2 ATS on the road and 6-2 ATS as an underdog. This is the first meeting for these teams on the season and a high-profile opportunity for the Raptors while it is likely a potential flat spot on the schedule following NBA Finals rematch Friday for the Thunder, with big Western Conference games ahead in the coming days facing the Wolves, Nuggets, Spurs, Rockets, Lakers, and Suns all in the two-plus weeks before the All-Star break in the upcoming schedule. Many will blindly back Oklahoma City off a loss, which keeps this price appealing as the largest underdog spread the Raptors have faced all season.