Free Pick | NFL | Sunday | Dec. 7

Nelly’s won 2 out of 3 in college championship picks – we’ve gone 22-11 in NFL Week 14 the past 10 years as well!

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#139 Los Angeles Rams -9 over Arizona Cardinals 3:25 PM

With the Rams off a loss last week, this is now a critical game in the NFC West race. Under Sean McVay the Rams are 14-3 S/U and 13-4 ATS vs. the Cardinals but the last trip to Glendale was a blowout loss last September to further the incentive this week. There isn’t much margin for error in the NFC West race that the Rams still lead, even after the Rams took a surprising loss last week in Charlotte with three turnovers being a critical factor. Arizona is just 3-9 this season but the past two losses, and seven losses this season, have come by four or fewer points as the Cardinals haven’t been far from a more competitive campaign. Last week’s defeat was the first since September 2024 for the Rams playing as a road favorite, breaking a 7-0 S/U and ATS run while the Rams are 7-1 S/U and 6-2 ATS as a road favorite of more than seven points under McVay. The Rams are also on a 5-0 S/U and 5-0 ATS run following a S/U loss since November 2024 and off a loss, no Rams opponent has topped 24 points since Week 2 of 2024. The Rams rank sixth in the NFL in yards per pass attempt allowed and over the past three games the Rams have allowed 5.5 yards per pass attempt in contrast to Arizona allowing 7.2. Jacoby Brissett has played adequately at quarterback for the Cardinals but he ranks 25th in the NFL in QBR as he is a serviceable backup for a few games, and not suited to be an every week starter at this point in his career. Brissett has taken 26 sacks this season with only 302 pass attempts, and he has three interceptions in his last three games. The offensive line and receiving corps for the Cardinals are battling injuries and in the past two games vs. high-end foes in the same caliber as the Rams, the Cardinals lost by 19 and 22 points vs. the other two NFC West rivals.