Free Pick | NFL | Sunday | Nov. 1

Nelly’s had a 3-1 Saturday, backing up last week’s great 6-2 football week. We’ve won our NFL 2/3 in back-to-back weeks and have gone 2-1 or better in nine of our last 12 football 2/3 offers!

Join Nelly’s for Sunday’s 2/3 offer – Green Sheet Keys also went 4-1 yesterday and we’ve won seven Rating 3 Top Key Selections in a row!

#247 Baltimore Ravens +3 over Buffalo Bills 12:00 PM CT

Buffalo scored 22 fourth quarter points in a Week 1 Sunday night win hosting Baltimore last season, including 16 points in the final four minutes. Baltimore had 8.6 yards per play in that game despite losing. Both teams are in coaching change seasons, and the Ravens have slipped to 4-3 with back-to-back division losses while trying to weather Lamar Jackson’s absence. Buffalo is off a bye week, and the Bills are the top scoring team in the NFL averaging nearly 33 points per game. The past two wins for the Bulls have come by just three points however and five of six games this season for Buffalo have featured a one-score final margin with the Bills 2-1 S/U and ATS in the team’s new stadium. Jackson is expected to start and should be playing close to full strength, going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Bills are the only team in the NFL ranking in bottom three of both EPA/play and opponent success rate and the Bills are allowing a passer rating of over 102. The Ravens are an elite rushing team with Derrick Henry on pace for another great season, and Buffalo’s run defense is likely worse than the numbers suggest, with the Bills often being involved in back-and-forth high-scoring finishes. Buffalo has C.J. Garnder-Johnson suspended to hurt the defense while the offense could be without both DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid who are both questionable on the injury report. While only one of the wins has come under new head coach Jesse Minter, Baltimore is 23-9 ATS as an underdog since 2018.