Free Pick | Sunday | NFL | Oct. 29

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#267/268 UNDER 41.5 Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers 12:00 PM CT

The weather has turned in the Midwest as this will be a chilly Sunday afternoon game in Green Bay which could downgrade the offensive potential in this NFC North clash. Kirk Cousins has big numbers this season as the Vikings look like a team that can rally into a wild card spot even after starting 1-4 but Minnesota has scored 21, 20, 19, and 22 in the past four games for modest scoring. Justin Jefferson remains out while Green Bay has allowed just 6.1 yards per pass attempt, 11th best in the NFL. The Packers are more vulnerable against the rush as this is a game the Vikings will likely look to improve their current average of just 75 rushing yards per game, 3rd worst in the NFL. Jordan Love has a 49.8 QBR this season which is well-above what Aaron Rodgers posted for the Packers last season at 41.3, but after strong numbers in his first three games, Love has had six interceptions on the current three-game slide for the Packers. Green Bay has been held to 20 or fewer points in four straight games while notably struggling early in games, with Minnesota also battling starting slowly in most games this season. Minnesota has quietly had a respectable defense this season, 12th in the NFL in yards per play allowed. Minnesota has allowed just 3.6 yards per rush this season which is 6th best in the NFL as the Packers may have to rely on Love and the passing game where the offense has been much less efficient. Five of the past six meetings between these rivals have played ‘over’ including three straight Lambeau meetings but that streak seems likely to end this week. 60% of Minnesota’s road games under Kevin O’Connell have played ‘under’ and much of the scoring against the Vikings this season has come off turnovers, as both teams likely are slightly better defensively than the current figures suggest.