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Free NCAA Pick Sunday

#824 George Washington +3 over Duquesne 3:00 PM CT

George Washington owns terrible offensive numbers in a 6-11 start to the season but the Colonials have posted a 2-2 A-10 record, even with losses in both home games. Those contests came with a tight loss vs. Dayton, perhaps the top team in the conference, and then a 20-point loss to Richmond for a great contrast. The overall season numbers are a bit deflated taking November losses to Virginia and Michigan and ultimately the team has capable defensive numbers while avoiding turnovers.

Duquesne sits at 12-5 overall and with a 3-1 conference record but the gap between these teams doesn’t look significant despite the contrasting records. The three A-10 wins for the Dukes have come by a combined total of 12 points while three quarters of the team’s wins have come outside the nation’s top 200. The Dukes take a great deal of 3-point shots while hitting at just over 32 percent and Duquesne has struggled with turnovers on offense. This will be a second straight road game for the Dukes after winning in Richmond on Wednesday and a big contest with Saint Louis is on deck on the schedule with the Billikens the current leader in the conference. There isn’t a single upperclassman in the current Duquesne rotation and this is the first time all season the young team has drawn consecutive road games, with Wednesday’s win the first true road win of the season. After a 2-point home loss in this matchup in the last meeting between these teams George Washington should be motivated and this is a team that could start to perform better in the coming weeks after facing a transition with Illinois transfer DJ Williams taking over a big role and the team losing Arnaldo Toro to injury early in the season.

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Nelly’s is on a 24-15 NFL run and we also have a championship pick posted for Sunday. Point Train has posted a 7-unit NFL Playoff Game of the Year this weekend as well!

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#642 Oklahoma -3 over TCU 1:00 PM CT

The Sooners are 12-3 through a schedule that ranks as the second toughest in the nation. Oklahoma is a in a key spot on the schedule at home with a 1-2 start in conference play but the losses both came on the road in competitive games vs. the top two rated teams in the conference. Oklahoma’s strong record has come with just five home games, with a 4-0 mark beating five teams all rated in the nation’s top 115 and those wins have all come by nine or more points. TCU lost by nine at Kansas on Wednesday and that is the only top 50 team the Horned Frogs have faced this season. It is also the only time this season that TCU has played a true road game outside of the Dallas/Fort Worth area. This will be a daunting spot on the schedule for a team playing without some of its top players and a team featuring zero top 50 wins on the season. TCU went just 3-6 in Big XII road games last season and lost both meetings with Oklahoma even in a down year for Lon Kruger’s squad. Jamie Dixon’s squad has struggled with free throws and could be exposed in a second straight road game vs. an underrated Oklahoma team that has eight top 100 wins on the season.

Nelly’s Basketball is on a 37-12 run since December 6 including a 19-4 current NBA run and a 12-3 current NCAA run. Get our 2/3 offer for Saturday with an 11-1 record in winning our Saturday 2/3 the past four weeks.

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Big E has his next 20* Conference Game of the Year lined up today, a big one in the ACC for $20.94.

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Free NCAA Pick Friday

#750 Florida Atlantic +8.5 over Georgia Southern 4:00 PM CT (@Bahamas) 

Florida Atlantic finished just 12-19 last season going only 6-12 in Conference USA though they did play most of the top teams in the conference tough. This was one of the worst shooting teams in the nation last season but the roster has turned over substantially for new head coach Dusty May. Two freshmen have earned starting roles but Mississippi State transfer Xavian Stapleton has been the big addition to key instant improvement for the Owls.

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Florida Atlantic is 2-0 this season and Sunday’s win over UCF was a notable result with an 80-79 win in Orlando. The offensive numbers are improved and this could be a team that makes a bit of noise in Conference USA and in this Bahamas tournament. Georgia Southern plays very quickly but has struggled defensively, allowing very strong outside shooting numbers in a 2-0 start to the season. The Eagles have been a bad free throw shooting team despite the many opportunities at the line and in Statesboro on Tuesday Georgia Southern struggled to pull away from George Mason in a high-scoring win.

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The turnaround to a Friday game in the Bahamas makes for a daunting scheduling spot as well to give an advantage to the Owls. The Eagles have three returning senior starters but also lost four senior contributors from last season’s 21-12 squad for Mark Byington. FAU should have a significant size edge in this game with three 6’7” starters vs. a Georgia Southern team that plays one of the smallest lineups in the country. The win over UCF doesn’t look like a fluke as Florida Atlantic should be considered an improved team that is a threat for an upset in this afternoon Showcase game.

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#386 UAB -1 over North Texas 6:30 PM CT

The Mean Green are 6-1 while UAB is 5-1 with the Blazers the only undefeated team left in Conference USA West play. This was a wild game last September with North Texas winning 46-43 at home; getting a late field goal after UAB had tied the game with only 27 seconds to go. UAB is 9-0 S/U at home with only one ATS miss in Birmingham since bringing football back. UAB is hitting its stride defeating foes by a combined score of 98-14 the past three games with a productive rushing attack posing 5.1 yards per game.

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Mason Fine has fantastic numbers for North Texas but this should be he his toughest test of the season so far. North Texas is just 18-24 ATS on the road since 2012 and UAB is 9-1 ATS in the past 10 home games. In this key division game UAB should maintain its home field edge while avenging last season’s tough loss.

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Don’t miss our next 3* Top Play in college football (13-4 since December 2015). Point Train is on an incredible college football run at 14-2 and a huge 8-unit Underdog Game of the Year is posted for Saturday! Big picks are also available from Bobby Dalton, Big E, and Maximum Sports for Saturday college football!

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#155 South Florida -12 over Illinois 2:30 PM CT (Chicago)

The Bulls got a big home win last week led by a pair of kickoff return touchdowns while creating a few late turnovers. South Florida has received strong play from Blake Barnett in his first season with the team as he is the leading rusher for the Bulls while a 69 percent passer. Run defense numbers always swell after facing Georgia Tech but Illinois may be a threat on the ground posing 5.4 yards per attempt so far this season.

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Illinois is 2-0 but through a light schedule and the offense hasn’t been able to post big numbers and starting quarterback A.J. Bush played minimally last week after an early leg injury. He isn’t likely to play this week and Illinois caught breaks with three turnovers allowing for a convincing win despite a minimal production edge last week vs. FCS Western Illinois.

South Florida won 47-23 in Tampa last season in this matchup with nearly 700 yards of offense and the gap doesn’t appear to have closed that significantly. South Florida had a lot go right in last week’s big win but Barnett and the offense will only improve with more reps and South Florida is on a 16-10 ATS run in road games. This won’t be a true road game in Chicago with Illinois likely shorthanded and overmatched. The spread has grown as some value has been lost but USF still looks worthy of consideration.

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Nelly’s went 4-0 last Saturday in college football – get an early start 2/3 today!

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#181 SMU +4 over North Texas 6:30 PM CT

SMU suffered an embarrassing 51-10 bowl loss to sour a solid 2017 season with current head coach Sonny Dykes leading the team in that game shortly after accepting the position after Chad Morris was hired at Arkansas. That defeat could fuel the Mustangs to a strong debut performance this season. Ben Hicks is one of the most productive returning quarterbacks after throwing 33 touchdowns last season while passing for nearly 3,600 yards. The schedule for the Mustangs is very tough as they will be dogged more substantially the next two weeks facing major conference powers making this a critical game in the season goals.

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Mason Fine threw for over 4,000 yards last season for North Texas as two high profile senior quarterbacks will be on display in Denton. The season for the Mean Green ended with a pair of lopsided losses after the team had won eight of nine to reach the Conference USA title game in what was a down year for the West division. Last season SMU won 54-32 in this matchup with the team yardage exactly even. Three turnovers for North Texas were a factor as a 10-0 lead turned into a 54-17 deficit before two late scores made for a more respectable final than the Mean Green deserved.

SMU returns eight starters on defense this season including five of last season’s top seven leading tacklers and these teams had similar marginal defensive statistics last season with SMU playing a more difficult schedule that included losses to high scoring offenses in TCU, UCF, and Memphis. SMU had the second highest scoring output against North Texas last season and while the Mean Green did go 6-0 at home last season the travel is minimal for SMU this game features a 17-point swing in the line from last season in the move 40 miles northwest.

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Nelly’s is 1-0 on the season and we have our first 2/3 guarantee of the season lined up for Saturday – $25. Big E is on a 13-4 run in 20* & higher picks and he has his first 20* pick for Saturday with his Non-Conference Game of the Year. Point Train has a 5-Unit Underdog Opener play with a 2-1 start to the season. Maximum has a big 7* pick lined up this weekend as well. Bobby Dalton will have his Saturday update coming soon with a 2-0 NCAA start!

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Free NCAA Hoops Pick Monday

#594 Portland State +2.5 Utah State 9:00 PM CT

Utah State just played national finalist Gonzaga to a very competitive 79-66 result on Saturday and this is a tough turnaround for a second straight road game. Gonzaga shot 28 percent from 3-point range in that game, while the Aggies made 11 threes to hang around, actually leading late in the first half.

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At Veteran’s Coliseum tonight this isn’t a true home game for Portland State but the first big test for the team in a tune-up ahead of Thursday’s game in the same building for the PK80 Tournament with Duke in town. The Vikings have played a terrible schedule in the 3-0 start but as one of the fastest paced teams in the nation they could present a challenge with a great contrast in style with Utah State.

The Aggies have already lost to a Big Sky team this season falling at Weber State to open the season and the program has been in decline the past two seasons under Tim Duryea. This year’s team is deep but incredibly inexperienced as the rotations aren’t clearly set yet. Free throw shooting has been a struggle and the defense isn’t creating turnovers.

Portland State started three seniors and a junior joined by talented freshman Holland Woods as this year’s team has a chance to take a leap forward and move to the middle of the pack in the Big Sky. Late in the season slow deliberate defensive teams generally trump frenetic offensive teams but that early in the season those high-tempo teams are more of a threat particularly against teams with limited experience playing together which is the situation tonight.

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday #2

#147 Troy -17 over Coastal Carolina 3:30 PM CT

In its first FBS season Coastal Carolina nearly pulled off a historic upset last week at Arkansas. The Chanticleers had a 38-24 lead in the fourth quarter but surrendered the lead in the final minutes.  Back to Sun Belt competition this will be a difficult matchup against one of the league’s top contenders. Troy survived a tight game last week hosting Idaho as there has been some inconsistency but a veteran quarterback and line lead the offense and the Trojans rate as one of the better run defenses in the nation.

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Strong passing teams have given Troy more trouble that run-oriented teams and this situation should be a more favorable with Troy yet to allow more than 24 points in any game. Despite nearly taking down a SEC squad last week Coastal Carolina was out-gained by 164 yards and allowed a combined 88 points in losses to Appalachian State and Arkansas State, two other Sun Belt contenders that rate similarly to Troy. The passing offense for Coastal Carolina has been among the worst nationally with just 14 completions per game at 53 percent as Troy should have a big edge in the air with the Coastal Carolina defense allowing 6.4 yards per play on the season.

The top quarterback for the Chanticleers Tyler Keane is still out of action and Kilton Anderson is likely to take most of the snaps this week with a 36 percent completion rate on the season. There has been no recent home field edge with losses to Western Illinois, Georgia State, and Texas State in the past three home games, outscored 106-38 and Troy certainly rates significantly stronger than any of those teams. Troy played last Thursday for a bit of an extra break in between games and with an off week next week ahead of two big Sun Belt games there will be no overlooking this matchup especially after Troy dropped a similar late season road game last season to surrender a share of the conference title.

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Free NCAA Pick Tuesday

#102 Miami, OH -7 over Akron 6:30 PM CT

Hopes of being the MAC East champion ended last week for Miami, losing at Ohio Tuesday night despite posting 448 yards on one of the MAC’s better defenses. The Redhawks need to win out to return to a bowl game, something they did last season after starting 0-6. Akron is tied with Ohio at 4-1 in the MAC East with the upcoming head-to-head game likely to determine the title.

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Akron blasted Miami 35-13 last season although the Zips only had 299 yards in that game. Gus Ragland could return for the Redhawks although Billy Bahl has shown improvement the past two weeks and Miami is a promising threat against a Zips squad that is posting just 3.5 yards per rush this season with Miami also having a better run defense.

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In five MAC games Miami has outscored Akron by five points despite the contrasting records and Akron has been out-gained in all five road games despite winning two of those games. The big win over Western Michigan featured a production deficit of 211 yards for the Zips and recall that Saturday game was delayed to Sunday to create an unusual situation.

FCS Arkansas-Pine Bluff and an injury-depleted Ball State team are the only teams Akron has had more yardage against while Miami has out-gained seven of nine foes this season including all five MAC opponents. Even Notre Dame only had an edge of 126 yards against the Redhawks as this team has a high ceiling despite some tough breaks this season with injuries and defensive scores allowed. This should be a great opportunity for Miami to snap a four-game slide in this series regardless of who is at quarterback.

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#380 Texas Tech -3.5 over Kansas State 11:00 AM CT

Kansas State got in the win column last week but struggling against Kansas paints a significant gap between the Wildcats and the real contenders in the conference. Texas Tech has lost three in a row to reach a critical juncture in the season. The Red Raiders played right with Oklahoma early last week before failing to score in the final 27 minutes.

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Kansas State won 44-38 last season and has won five of the past six meetings but this is a season-defining game for the Red Raiders and perhaps the Kliff Kingsbury era as a loss this week likely means another losing season. The home team has won four of the last five meetings in this series and a lesser Texas Tech team was favored by five in the last Lubbock meeting two years ago, a 59-44 win for the Red Raiders.

Texas Tech out-gained West Virginia by 117 yards in the loss in mid-October and the Red Raiders have already played three of the top four teams tied on top of the Big XII standings to skew the numbers with Kansas State only playing two of those games so far and both of those games were at home despite getting out-gained by nearly 400 yards combined. Kansas State could have an edge in the running game in this matchup but that will be due to inept passing under Alek Delton who has taken over at quarterback.

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Kansas State has been out-gained in all five Big XII games, losing the yardage battle by 140 or more yards in each of the last five games and Kansas State has already played the two winless teams in the conference. Texas Tech is on an 11-4-1 ATS run at home and while Bill Snyder once held an amazing underdog track record has deteriorated and the Wildcats are just 3-5 ATS in the last eight instances as a road underdog.

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